Rennes vs Marseille 1:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 2.42 — +1.4% better than the market.

Rennes show strong home momentum with recent unbeaten form and higher points per game, suggesting they hold a slight edge at Roazhon Park. Marseille’s recent struggles and lower scoring rate hint at challenges breaking down Rennes’ compact defense. Expect a tactical battle with Rennes leveraging their home rhythm and pressing edge, while Marseille may look to exploit set-piece opportunities.

Rennes’ stable form contrasts Marseille’s dips
Home crowd support boosts Rennes’ confidence
Moderate pace likely, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5

Over 3.5 @ 2.42 ✗ Lost

AI 42% Implied 41% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

REN 4-3-3 · MAR 4-2-3-1

REN · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · MAR

90 Soumaré

Subs used · REN

45'

Al-Tamari ↑ ·

Soumaré ↓

68'

Reynolds ↑ ·

Frankowski ↓

78'

Dia ↑ ·

Lepaul ↓

78'

Szymański ↑ ·

Blas ↓

86'

Mayenda ↑ ·

Al-Tamari ↓

Subs used · MAR

65'

Abdallah ↑ ·

Gomes ↓

78'

Maupay ↑ ·

Abdelli ↓

88'

Moumbagna ↑ ·

Paixão ↓

88'

Mmadi ↑ ·

Gouiri ↓

88'

Cornelius ↑ ·

Aguerd ↓

Statistics

REN 1 – 0 MAR

49%

Possession (%)

51%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

16 · 1 – 0

33'

▮

Himad Abdelli

Yellow Card

43'

▮

Igor Paixão

Yellow Card

Przemysław Frankowski

Yellow Card

▮

43'

Mousa Al-Tamari ↓ · Issa Soumaré ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

45'

Half-time · 0 – 0

Adrien Thomasson

1–0

⚽

52'

65'

⇄

Keyliane Abdallah ↓ · Angel Gomes ↑

Substitution 1

Bryan Reynolds ↓ · Przemysław Frankowski ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

68'

Boulaye Dia ↓ · Esteban Lepaul ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

78'

Sebastian Szymański ↓ · Ludovic Blas ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

78'

⇄

Neal Maupay ↓ · Himad Abdelli ↑

Substitution 2

85'

▮

Amine Harit

Yellow Card

Eliezer Mayenda ↓ · Mousa Al-Tamari ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

86'

88'

⇄

Faris Moumbagna ↓ · Igor Paixão ↑

Substitution 3

88'

⇄

Tadjidine Mmadi ↓ · Amine Gouiri ↑

Substitution 4

88'

⇄

Derek Cornelius ↓ · Nayef Aguerd ↑

Substitution 5

90+4'

▮

Timothy Weah

Yellow Card

Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Rennes beat Marseille 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 13, 7 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Adrien Thomasson (52').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.62 units (Brier 0.275).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	2.42	2.30	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.20	2.02	43%	Cashed	+1.20	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.65	1.72	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.61	1.67	58%	Cashed	+0.61	Cashed
BTTS No	2.58	2.62	36%	Cashed	+1.58	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.38	2.55	36%	Cashed	+1.38	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.65	2.65	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.52	1.52	46%	Cashed	+0.52	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.40	1.35	67%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.50	1.50	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.48	1.44	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.88	3.23	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	1.02	95%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.15	1.14	83%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.70	3.95	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.90	5.49	17%	Cashed	+3.90	Cashed
Under 0.5	17.00	16.95	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+0.62u	+4% ROI

Rennes vs Marseille 1:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled