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Home › France › Ligue 1 › Rennes — Marseille

Predictions by Market: Rennes vs Marseille

France   /   Ligue 1 Value pick inside
Rennes
Rennes
Home · last 5 D W W W L
Kick-off
Fri 11 Sep · 18:45
1:0
Full-time
Marseille
Marseille
W L L L L Away · last 5
Roazhon Park · Rennes Referee Jeremy Stinat

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · REN
43%
Best 2.10
Draw
25%
Best 4.04
Away Win · MAR
33%
Best 3.60
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.42
Fair odds
2.38
book 2.42 · +1.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 42% · EV +1.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (58%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 42.8%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 32.5%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 24.6%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 42%
Odds 2.42
Show model details
Implied probability 41.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 58%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 36.4%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 63.6%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.3%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 83%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 17%
Odds 4.90
Show model details
Implied probability 20.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4.7%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 35.7%
Odds 2.58
Show model details
Implied probability 38.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 64.4%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 30.3%
Odds 2.65
Show model details
Implied probability 37.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 46%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 57.2%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 67.5%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
REN – MAR @ 2.42
+1.4%
Edge
Forecast →