Match Brighton vs Aston Villa December 3, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Brighton arrives with a clear quality edge and strong home momentum, boasting a potent attack that challenges Aston Villa's defense. Villa's recent unbeaten streak shows resilience, but their defensive frailties may be exposed at Amex Stadium. The tactical battle favors Brighton's pressing style and efficient buildup, likely leading to a controlled tempo and moderate scoring.

Brighton's home edge and offensive firepower
Aston Villa's solid form but defensive concerns
Moderate pace suggested by balanced goal odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

BRI 4-2-3-1 · AST 4-2-3-1

BRI · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · AST

9 Tzimas

Subs used · BRI

24'

Hinshelwood ↑ ·

Tzimas ↓

67'

Welbeck ↑ ·

Kadioglu ↓

77'

Kostoulas ↑ ·

Gruda ↓

78'

Veltman ↑ ·

Baleba ↓

Subs used · AST

70'

Digne ↑ ·

Maatsen ↓

70'

Tielemans ↑ ·

Kamara ↓

77'

Malen ↑ ·

McGinn ↓

86'

Bogarde ↑ ·

Guessand ↓

86'

Buendia ↑ ·

Watkins ↓

📊 Statistics

BRI 3 – 4 AST

56%

Possession (%)

44%

1.70

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.76

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

83%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

20 · 3 – 4

J. P. van Hecke

Assist · M. Wieffer · 1–0

⚽

J. Hinshelwood ↓ · S. Tzimas ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

24'

P. Torres

Own goal · 2–0

⚽

29'

37'

⚽

O. Watkins

Assist · E. Guessand · 2–1

45'

⚽

O. Watkins

Assist · M. Rogers · 2–2

Bart Verbruggen

Yellow Card

▮

45+8'

Half-time · 2 – 2

60'

⚽

A. Onana

Assist · M. Cash · 2–3

D. Welbeck ↓ · F. Kadioglu ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

67'

70'

⇄

L. Digne ↓ · I. Maatsen ↑

Substitution 1

70'

⇄

Y. Tielemans ↓ · B. Kamara ↑

Substitution 2

75'

▮

John McGinn

Yellow Card

C. Kostoulas ↓ · B. Gruda ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

77'

⇄

D. Malen ↓ · J. McGinn ↑

Substitution 3

J. Veltman ↓ · C. Baleba ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

78'

⚽

D. Malen

2–4

J. P. van Hecke

Assist · J. Hinshelwood · 3–4

⚽

83'

Diego Gómez

Yellow Card

▮

85'

86'

⇄

L. Bogarde ↓ · E. Guessand ↑

Substitution 4

86'

⇄

E. Buendia ↓ · O. Watkins ↑

Substitution 5

90+5'

▮

Marco Bizot

Yellow Card

Full-time · 3 – 4

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.25	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.20	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.02	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.92	—	48%	Cashed	+0.92	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.71	—	50%	Cashed	+0.71	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.78	—	47%	Cashed	+0.78	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.56	—	21%	Cashed	+1.56	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.36	—	79%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.10	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.20	—	27%	Cashed	+2.20	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.58	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.38	—	73%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	12.30	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	92%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.29	—	74%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Draw	3.62	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.47	—	21%	Cashed	+2.47	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.01u	−0% ROI