Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig 3:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 4.05 — +12.6% better than the market.

RB Leipzig arrives with momentum after a recent win, contrasting Werder Bremen's current struggles. Leipzig's sharper form and away resilience suggest they can challenge Bremen's home setup effectively. The match hints at a lively tempo, supported by odds favoring over 2.5 goals, indicating attacking intent from both sides.

Leipzig's recent form edge and away confidence
Bremen's need to stabilize defensively at home
Potential for open play and goal-scoring chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 4.05 ✓ Cashed

AI 28% Implied 25% +3.05u

+305%

ROI on stake

Lineups

WER 4-1-4-1 · LEI 4-3-3

WER · 4-1-4-1 4-3-3 · LEI

10 Füllkrug ⚽

Subs used · WER

67'

Schmetgens ↑ ·

Soares ↓

67'

Erevbenagie ↑ ·

Dinkci ↓

74'

Itten ↑ ·

Füllkrug ↓

83'

Stalmach ↑ ·

Regeer ↓

83'

Musah ↑ ·

Cantalejo ↓

Subs used · LEI

63'

Gomis ↑ ·

Bakayoko ↓

75'

Guiu ↑ ·

Aynaoui ↓

84'

Maksimović ↑ ·

Nkunku ↓

84'

Konaté ↑ ·

Nusa ↓

Statistics

WER 3 – 1 LEI

29%

Possession (%)

71%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

14 · 3 – 1

Eren Dinkci

Assist · Iván San José Cantalejo · 1–0

⚽

Iván San José Cantalejo

Yellow Card

▮

23'

Half-time · 1 – 0

63'

⇄

Tidiam Gomis ↓ · Johan Bakayoko ↑

Substitution 1

Mick Schmetgens ↓ · Arthur Augusto De Matos Soares ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

67'

Paul Erevbenagie ↓ · Eren Dinkci ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

67'

Niclas Füllkrug

Assist · Marco Grüll · 2–0

⚽

68'

Cédric Itten ↓ · Niclas Füllkrug ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

74'

75'

⇄

Marc Guiu ↓ · Neil El Aynaoui ↑

Substitution 2

Marco Grüll

3–0

⚽

80'

Dariusz Stalmach ↓ · Youri Regeer ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

83'

Salim Amani Musah ↓ · Iván San José Cantalejo ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

83'

84'

⇄

Andrija Maksimović ↓ · Christopher Nkunku ↑

Substitution 3

84'

⇄

Samba Konaté ↓ · Antonio Nusa ↑

Substitution 4

90+5'

⚽

Ridle Baku

Assist · Andrija Maksimović · 3–1

Full-time · 3 – 1

Match recap

Werder Bremen beat RB Leipzig 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 71% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 12, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 2.

On the scoresheet: Eren Dinkci (4'), Niclas Füllkrug (68'), Marco Grüll (80'), Ridle Baku (90+5').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.35 units (Brier 0.191).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	2.33	2.11	53%	Cashed	+1.33	Cashed
BTTS No	2.56	2.66	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	2.03	2.02	51%	Cashed	+1.03	Cashed
Away Win	1.75	1.75	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	3.13	3.14	27%	Cashed	+2.13	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.66	1.80	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.50	2.72	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.48	1.40	73%	Cashed	+0.48	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.30	1.23	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.46	1.44	59%	Cashed	+0.46	Cashed
Home Win	4.05	4.17	28%	Cashed	+3.05	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.37	1.32	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.15	1.12	88%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.02	1.01	97%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Draw	3.85	4.15	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	17.00	18.87	3%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.90	5.99	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−0.35u	−2% ROI

Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig 3:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled