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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Bayern München — RB Leipzig

Prediction: Bayern München vs RB Leipzig, October 17

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Bayern München
Bayern München
Home · last 5 W D W W D
Kick-off
Sat 17 Oct · 16:30
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
W L W L W Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BAY
78%
Best 1.26
Draw
15%
Best 7.50
Away Win · LEI
7%
Best 11.30

Model verdict

Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 81% probability.

Also rated highly: Bayern München to win 78%, both teams to score 69%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 78% Bayern München win
Over/Under 2.5 81% Over 2.5
BTTS 69% Yes
Double Chance 93% 1X
  • 1X2 Bayern München win 78%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 81%
  • BTTS Yes 69%
  • Double Chance 1X 93%
Open betting analysis

Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Bayern München
W/D/L 3-2-0
Goals (for / against) 16 / 3
Avg goals / match 3.8
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 3/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-2-0
xG (for / against) 5.10 / 2.45
RB Leipzig
W/D/L 2-0-3
Goals (for / against) 13 / 9
Avg goals / match 4.4
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 0-0-3
xG (for / against) 4.10 / 1.52

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
3.20
Goals Scored
3
0.80
Goals Conceded
1
1.81
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
9
Shots on Target
7
9.40
Corners
6.20
70.40
Possession (%)
55.40
104.46
Efficiency index
96.03
162.79
Adjusted index
133.37
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
94
OFF · home
89
83
DEF · home
72
83
OFF · away
11
89
DEF · away
33
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
Bayern München wins when scoring first
100%
①
RB Leipzig wins when scoring first
100%
⚽
Bayern München BTTS rate · last 10
60%
⚽
RB Leipzig BTTS rate · last 10
60%
↑
Bayern München Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↑
RB Leipzig Over 2.5 · last 10
90%
↩
Bayern München comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
RB Leipzig comeback rate · last 10
0%

Goal timing

Bayern München · last 10 at home

0–15 5%
16–30 18%
31–45 31%
46–60 15%
61–75 15%
76–90 15%

RB Leipzig · last 10 away

0–15 8%
16–30 15%
31–45 15%
46–60 23%
61–75 15%
76–90 23%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.

Top scorers

M. Olise
BAY · Midfielder
4 G · 0.92 g/90
H. Kane
BAY · Attacker
3 G · 0.70 g/90
C. Nkunku
LEI · Attacker
4 G · 1.15 g/90
A. Nusa
LEI · Midfielder
3 G · 0.67 g/90