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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Bayern München — RB Leipzig

Predictions by Market: Bayern München vs RB Leipzig

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Bayern München
Bayern München
Home · last 5 W D W W D
Kick-off
Sat 17 Oct · 16:30
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
W L W L W Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BAY
78%
Best 1.26
Draw
15%
Best 7.50
Away Win · LEI
7%
Best 11.30
Value pick
Under 3.5
@ 2.94
Fair odds
2.74
book 2.94 · +7.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 37% · EV +7.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 3.5 is more likely (63%), but Under 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 14.8%
Odds 7.17
Show model details
Implied probability 14%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 78.1%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 7.2%
Odds 9.75
Show model details
Implied probability 10.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 36.6%
Odds 2.94
Show model details
Implied probability 34%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 19.4%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 7.5%
Odds 14.25
Show model details
Implied probability 7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 92.5%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 80.7%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 63.5%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 31%
Odds 2.93
Show model details
Implied probability 34.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 69%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 78.1%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 7.2%
Odds 6.40
Show model details
Implied probability 15.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 92.8%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 21.9%
Odds 4.13
Show model details
Implied probability 24.2%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
BAY – LEI @ 2.94
+7.5%
Edge
Forecast →