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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Werder Bremen — RB Leipzig

Predictions by Market: Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
Home · last 5 L W D W D
Kick-off
Sat 05 Sep · 13:30
3:1
Full-time
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
W L W L W Away · last 5
Referee B. Brand

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · WER
28%
Best 4.36
Draw
24%
Best 4.36
Away Win · LEI
50%
Best 1.80
Value pick
Home Win
@ 4.05
Fair odds
3.60
book 4.05 · +12.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 28% · EV +12.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (50%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 49.8%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 27.8%
Odds 4.05
Show model details
Implied probability 24.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 24%
Odds 3.85
Show model details
Implied probability 26%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5 Value pick
Probability 53.2%
Odds 2.33
Show model details
Implied probability 42.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 46.8%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 27%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 73.1%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 87.9%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96.5%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 3.5%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 12.1%
Odds 4.90
Show model details
Implied probability 20.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 40.7%
Odds 2.56
Show model details
Implied probability 39.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 59.3%
Odds 1.46
Show model details
Implied probability 68.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 26.8%
Odds 3.13
Show model details
Implied probability 32%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 48.3%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 51.3%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 68.9%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
WER – LEI @ 4.05
+12.6%
Edge
Forecast →