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Sevilla vs Barcelona 1:3: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Sevilla
Sevilla
Home · last 5 L D W W L
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 19:00
1:3
Full-time
Barcelona
Barcelona
W W W W W Away · last 5
Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán · Seville Referee Juan Martinez Munuera
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 58% · book 1.67 ✓
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 62% · book 1.61 ✓
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 42% · book 2.20 ✗
Total goals
4
1 · 3
Possession
30% – 70%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Draw at 6.45 — +2.2% better than the market.

Barcelona arrive with clear quality and form superiority, boasting a potent attack that challenges Sevilla's defense. Despite Sevilla's solid recent home momentum, the visitors' pressing edge and higher scoring threat suggest a lively encounter. Expect a dynamic pace with chances at both ends, as Barcelona's offensive prowess meets Sevilla's resilience.

  • Barcelona's superior quality gap and attacking edge
  • Sevilla's home momentum and defensive compactness
  • Likely open game with goal-scoring opportunities for both sides

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Draw
Draw @ 6.45 ✗ Lost
AI 16% Implied 16% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

SEV 4-2-3-1 · BAR 4-3-3
Subs used · SEV
59' Ejuke ↑ · Correia ↓
68' Carmona ↑ · Sangante ↓
68' Romero ↑ · Kochorashvili ↓
78' Guridi ↑ · Sierra ↓
79' Martínez ↑ · Fofana ↓
Subs used · BAR
59' Martín ↑ · Christensen ↓
76' Carvajal ↑ · López ↓
77' Adeyemi ↑ · Belloli ↓
86' Bernal ↑ · Pedri ↓
86' Jesus ↑ · Gordon ↓

Statistics

SEV 1 – 3 BAR
30%
Possession (%)
70%
7
Total Shots
24
3
Shots on Target
7
4
Shots off Target
12
3
Shots Inside Box
12
1
Corner Kicks
3
5
Offsides
2
10
Fouls
11
1
Yellow Cards
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

15 · 1 – 3
Youssouf Fofana
Assist · Felix Correia · 1–0
⚽
19'
22'
⚽
Raphael Dias Belloli
Assist · Andreas Christensen · 1–1
Half-time · 1 – 1
52'
⚽
Raphael Dias Belloli
Assist · Lamine Yamal · 1–2
Chidera Ejuke ↓ · Felix Correia ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
59'
59'
⇄
Gerard Martín ↓ · Andreas Christensen ↑
Substitution 1
José Ángel Carmona ↓ · Arouna Sangante ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
68'
Isaac Romero ↓ · Giorgi Kochorashvili ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
68'
69'
⚽
Raphael Dias Belloli
Assist · Lamine Yamal · 1–3
76'
⇄
Daniel Olmo Carvajal ↓ · Fermín López ↑
Substitution 2
77'
⇄
Karim Adeyemi ↓ · Raphael Dias Belloli ↑
Substitution 3
Jon Guridi ↓ · Miguel Sierra ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
78'
Alfonso González Martínez ↓ · Youssouf Fofana ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
79'
Lucien Agoumé
Yellow Card
▮
80'
86'
⇄
Marc Bernal ↓ · Pedri ↑
Substitution 4
86'
⇄
Gabriel Jesus ↓ · Anthony Gordon ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 1 – 3

Match recap

Barcelona won 3–1 away at Sevilla. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 70% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 24 shots to 7, 7 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves.

On the scoresheet: Youssouf Fofana (19'), Raphael Dias Belloli (22'), Raphael Dias Belloli (52'), Raphael Dias Belloli (69').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -5.96 units (Brier 0.066).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 1.67 1.80 58% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.61 1.62 62% Cashed +0.61 Cashed
Under 3.5 2.20 2.08 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.21 2.20 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.05 1.06 94% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Away Win 1.22 1.25 78% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.08 1.08 78% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Under 2.5 3.20 3.50 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 6.45 6.67 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.33 1.29 75% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.08 1.06 89% Cashed +0.08 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 4.13 3.82 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 6.50 8.00 11% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 11.80 10.00 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 6.88 6.80 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 8 L −5.96u −40% ROI
Value pick of the night · Draw
SEV – BAR @ 6.45
+2.2%
Edge
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