P
Prognosist
P
Home › Spain › La Liga › Sevilla — Barcelona

Predictions by Market: Sevilla vs Barcelona

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Sevilla
Sevilla
Home · last 5 L D W W L
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 19:00
1:3
Full-time
Barcelona
Barcelona
W W W W W Away · last 5
Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán · Seville Referee Juan Martinez Munuera

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · SEV
6%
Best 13.00
Draw
16%
Best 7.50
Away Win · BAR
78%
Best 1.30
Value pick
Draw
@ 6.45
Fair odds
6.31
book 6.45 · +2.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 16% · EV +2.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (78%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 78.2%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 15.9%
Odds 6.45
Show model details
Implied probability 15.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 5.9%
Odds 11.80
Show model details
Implied probability 8.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 57.6%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 42.4%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 25.4%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 74.6%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 88.8%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 11.2%
Odds 6.50
Show model details
Implied probability 15.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 61.9%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 38.1%
Odds 2.21
Show model details
Implied probability 45.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 78.2%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 5.9%
Odds 6.88
Show model details
Implied probability 14.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 94.1%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 21.8%
Odds 4.13
Show model details
Implied probability 24.2%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
SEV – BAR @ 6.45
+2.2%
Edge
Forecast →