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Real Betis vs Getafe 1:0: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Real Betis
Real Betis
Home · last 5 L W W W D
Kick-off
Thu 17 Sep · 17:00
1:0
Full-time
Getafe
Getafe
D D L W L Away · last 5
Referee J. Sanchez
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 63% · book 1.80 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 64% · book 1.72 ✓
Hit
Under 1.5
Under 1.5
AI 38% · book 3.40 ✓
Total goals
1
1 · 0
Possession
75% – 25%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.80 — +12.7% better than the market.

Real Betis carries clear home momentum with a strong recent run contrasting Getafe's patchy form. Betis' attacking edge and higher points per game suggest they can control the match tempo, while Getafe's defense may struggle to contain their forward thrusts. The history of low-scoring encounters and market odds hint at a cautious pace, favoring a tight game with limited goals.

  • Home side's offensive pressure likely to test away defense
  • Getafe's inconsistent form may limit their attacking threat
  • Odds and past clashes suggest a compact, low-scoring match

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.80 ✓ Cashed
AI 63% Implied 56% +0.80u
+80%
ROI on stake

Lineups

BET 4-2-3-1 · GET 5-3-2
Subs used · BET
45' Bellerín ↑ · Ortiz ↓
61' Ceballos ↑ · Isco ↓
72' Hernández ↑ · Parrott ↓
72' Riquelme ↑ · Ezzalzouli ↓
90+2' Fidalgo ↑ · Santos ↓
Subs used · GET
45' Mojica ↑ · Mancha ↓
45' Ünal ↑ · Satriano ↓
69' Graf ↑ · García ↓
81' lopez ↑ · Gracia ↓
81' Alcántara ↑ · Mangala ↓

Statistics

BET 1 – 0 GET
75%
Possession (%)
25%
22
Total Shots
8
8
Shots on Target
2
8
Shots off Target
4
9
Shots Inside Box
3
4
Corner Kicks
3
0
Offsides
3
13
Fouls
24
1
Yellow Cards
4
2
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

18 · 1 – 0
19'
▮
José Bordalás Jiménez
Yellow Card
Ángel Ortiz
Yellow Card
▮
24'
25'
▮
David Cordón Mancha
Yellow Card
Abde Ezzalzouli
Assist · Troy Parrott · 1–0
⚽
45'
45'
⇄
Johan Mojica ↓ · David Cordón Mancha ↑
Substitution 1
Héctor Bellerín ↓ · Ángel Ortiz ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
45'
45'
⇄
Enes Ünal ↓ · Martin Satriano ↑
Substitution 2
Half-time · 1 – 0
53'
▮
Mario Martín Rielves
Yellow Card
Dani Ceballos ↓ · Isco ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
61'
69'
⇄
Juan Sebastian Boselli Graf ↓ · Andrés García ↑
Substitution 3
70'
▮
Nemanja Gudelj
Yellow Card
Cucho Hernández ↓ · Troy Parrott ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
72'
Rodrigo Riquelme ↓ · Abde Ezzalzouli ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
72'
74'
▮
Juan Sebastian Boselli Graf
Yellow Card
81'
⇄
oscar lopez ↓ · Francho Serrano Gracia ↑
Substitution 4
81'
⇄
Alberto Risco Alcántara ↓ · Orel Mangala ↑
Substitution 5
87'
▮
Mario Martín Rielves
Red Card
Álvaro Fidalgo ↓ · Antony Matheus dos Santos ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
90+2'
Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Real Betis beat Getafe 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 75% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 8, 8 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Abde Ezzalzouli (45'). Mario Martín Rielves was sent off in the 87' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.65 units (Brier 0.126).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.80 1.80 63% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
BTTS No 1.72 1.79 64% Cashed +0.72 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.40 3.40 38% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.18 2.25 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.67 1.62 56% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.08 1.98 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.00 2.00 37% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 8.00 10.00 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.19 1.14 77% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.30 1.30 62% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.29 1.29 83% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Away Win 6.00 5.99 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.40 3.91 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 1.05 84% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
AH Away 0 3.62 4.26 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.23 1.20 56% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.50 3.50 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −3.65u −21% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
BET – GET @ 1.80
+12.7%
Edge
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