Sevilla vs Valencia 1:0 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 2.30 — +1.4% better than the market.

Sevilla shows stronger recent form and home momentum against a struggling Valencia side. Sevilla’s ability to control the midfield and press high could exploit Valencia’s defensive lapses, while Valencia’s low scoring trend suggests a cautious approach. The match may lean towards a tight contest with limited goals, as both teams have shown resilience but lack consistent finishing.

Sevilla’s home edge and recent wins boost confidence.
Valencia’s defensive vulnerabilities may be tested.
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play over open end-to-end action.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 2.30 ✗ Lost

AI 44% Implied 43% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

SEV 4-4-2 · VAL 4-4-2

SEV · 4-4-2 4-4-2 · VAL

16 Isaac

Subs used · SEV

63'

Ure ↑ ·

Romero ↓

63'

Ejuke ↑ ·

Sierra ↓

71'

Kochorashvili ↑ ·

Fofana ↓

83'

Guridi ↑ ·

Stassin ↓

83'

Diaz ↑ ·

Correia ↓

Subs used · VAL

24'

Córdoba ↑ ·

Requeni ↓

62'

Maffeo ↑ ·

López ↓

62'

Elliott ↑ ·

Sato ↓

83'

Duro ↑ ·

Guerra ↓

83'

Vázquez ↑ ·

Gayà ↓

Statistics

SEV 1 – 0 VAL

46%

Possession (%)

54%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

14 · 1 – 0

24'

⇄

Iker Córdoba ↓ · César Tárrega Requeni ↑

Substitution 1

27'

▮

Ryunosuke Sato

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

62'

⇄

Pablo Maffeo ↓ · Arnau Martínez López ↑

Substitution 2

62'

⇄

Harvey Elliott ↓ · Ryunosuke Sato ↑

Substitution 3

Robbie Ure ↓ · Isaac Romero ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

63'

Chidera Ejuke ↓ · Miguel Sierra ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

63'

Chidera Ejuke

Yellow Card

▮

67'

Giorgi Kochorashvili ↓ · Youssouf Fofana ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

71'

Juan Antonio Iglesias Sánchez

Assist · Giorgi Kochorashvili · 1–0

⚽

81'

83'

⇄

Hugo Duro ↓ · Javi Guerra ↑

Substitution 4

83'

⇄

Jesús Vázquez ↓ · José Gayà ↑

Substitution 5

Jon Guridi ↓ · Lucas Stassin ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

83'

Julio Diaz ↓ · Felix Correia ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

83'

88'

▮

Pablo Maffeo

Yellow Card

Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Sevilla beat Valencia 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 3, 4 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Juan Antonio Iglesias Sánchez (81').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.02 units (Brier 0.181).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	2.30	2.38	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.99	1.99	47%	Cashed	+0.99	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.98	1.98	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.76	1.76	52%	Cashed	+0.76	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.62	1.62	56%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Under 1.5	2.70	2.88	31%	Cashed	+1.70	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.01	3.04	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.42	1.41	47%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.43	1.40	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.24	1.23	74%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.78	1.80	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.15	3.30	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.27	4.33	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.44	4.05	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	1.07	90%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.20	1.20	76%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Under 0.5	8.00	8.00	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.02u	−24% ROI

Sevilla vs Valencia 1:0: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled