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Home › Spain › La Liga › Sevilla — Valencia

Predictions by Market: Sevilla vs Valencia

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Sevilla
Sevilla
Home · last 5 L D W W L
Kick-off
Fri 11 Sep · 19:00
1:0
Full-time
Valencia
Valencia
L L L W L Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · SEV
47%
Best 2.15
Draw
29%
Best 3.40
Away Win · VAL
29%
Best 4.37
Value pick
Over 2.5
@ 2.30
Fair odds
2.27
book 2.30 · +1.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 44% · EV +1.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 2.5 is more likely (56%), but Over 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 46.7%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 28.5%
Odds 3.15
Show model details
Implied probability 31.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 29.2%
Odds 3.44
Show model details
Implied probability 29.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 44.1%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 55.9%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 31.2%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 68.8%
Odds 1.43
Show model details
Implied probability 70.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 23.6%
Odds 4.27
Show model details
Implied probability 23.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.2%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 76.4%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9.8%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 48.2%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 51.8%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 26%
Odds 3.01
Show model details
Implied probability 33.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 46.7%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 74%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 81%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 53.3%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.3%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
SEV – VAL @ 2.30
+1.4%
Edge
Forecast →