Villarreal vs Real Betis 1:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 3.75 — +8.7% better than the market.

Real Betis arrive with clear momentum, boasting a strong recent run compared to Villarreal's struggles. Betis' sharper form and higher scoring potential suggest they can challenge Villarreal's defense effectively. The home side's recent lack of wins and lower attacking threat may leave them vulnerable, especially as Betis look to capitalize on transitions.

Betis' superior recent form and goal threat
Villarreal's home struggles and defensive lapses
Potential for an open game given both sides' attacking intent

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 3.75 ✓ Cashed

AI 29% Implied 27% +2.75u

+275%

ROI on stake

Lineups

VIL 4-4-2 · BET 4-2-3-1

VIL · 4-4-2 4-2-3-1 · BET

9 Mikautadze

Subs used · VIL

54'

Saliba ↑ ·

Gueye ↓

55'

Moleiro ↑ ·

Buchanan ↓

62'

Oluwaseyi ↑ ·

Moreno ↓

76'

Freeman ↑ ·

González ↓

76'

Pérez ↑ ·

Pépé ↓

Subs used · BET

57'

Ceballos ↑ ·

Isco ↓

66'

Santos ↑ ·

Ezzalzouli ↓

67'

Deossa ↑ ·

Riquelme ↓

84'

Bernal ↑ ·

Fornals ↓

84'

Celso ↑ ·

Hernández ↓

Statistics

VIL 1 – 2 BET

62%

Possession (%)

38%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

14 · 1 – 2

Gerard Moreno

Assist · Renato Veiga · 1–0

⚽

29'

39'

⚽

Cucho Hernández

1–1

43'

⚽

Natan Bernardo de Souza

1–2

Half-time · 1 – 2

Nathan-Dylan Saliba ↓ · Pape Gueye ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

54'

Alberto Moleiro ↓ · Tajon Buchanan ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

55'

57'

⇄

Dani Ceballos ↓ · Isco ↑

Substitution 1

Tani Oluwaseyi ↓ · Gerard Moreno ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

62'

66'

⇄

Antony Matheus dos Santos ↓ · Abde Ezzalzouli ↑

Substitution 2

67'

⇄

Nelson Deossa ↓ · Rodrigo Riquelme ↑

Substitution 3

Alex Freeman ↓ · Álvaro Santiago Mouriño González ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

76'

Ayoze Pérez ↓ · Nicolas Pépé ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

76'

84'

⇄

Facundo Bernal ↓ · Pablo Fornals ↑

Substitution 4

84'

⇄

Giovani Lo Celso ↓ · Cucho Hernández ↑

Substitution 5

Renato Veiga

Yellow Card

▮

84'

Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Real Betis won 2–1 away at Villarreal. At half-time it was 1–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 26 shots to 14, 12 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 4. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 10 saves.

On the scoresheet: Gerard Moreno (29'), Cucho Hernández (39'), Natan Bernardo de Souza (43').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net -0.43 units (Brier 0.218).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	1.91	1.80	53%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.30	2.50	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.28	2.49	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.62	1.53	58%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.54	2.38	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.88	1.98	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.75	3.55	29%	Cashed	+2.75	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.62	1.62	63%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.57	1.49	59%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.27	1.29	71%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.92	2.69	29%	Cashed	+1.92	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.44	1.50	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.48	5.00	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.18	1.14	79%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Draw	3.75	3.91	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−0.43u	−3% ROI

Villarreal vs Real Betis 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled