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Home › Spain › La Liga › Villarreal — Real Betis

Predictions by Market: Villarreal vs Real Betis

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Villarreal
Villarreal
Home · last 5 L L W W L
Kick-off
Mon 14 Sep · 19:00
1:2
Full-time
Real Betis
Real Betis
L W W W D Away · last 5
Estadio de la Cerámica · Villarreal Referee Francisco Jose Hernandez Maeso

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · VIL
47%
Best 2.00
Draw
25%
Best 4.00
Away Win · BET
29%
Best 3.76
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.75
Fair odds
3.45
book 3.75 · +8.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 29% · EV +8.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (47%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 46.5%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 29%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 24.5%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 42.4%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 57.6%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 35.5%
Odds 2.54
Show model details
Implied probability 39.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 62.7%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 20.9%
Odds 4.48
Show model details
Implied probability 22.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 79.1%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 41.1%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 44%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 58.9%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 29%
Odds 2.92
Show model details
Implied probability 34.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 46.5%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 53.5%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 71%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 79.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
VIL – BET @ 3.75
+8.7%
Edge
Forecast →