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Home › Spain › La Liga › Athletic Club — Elche

Athletic Club vs Elche 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Home · last 5 L W W D D
Kick-off
Sat 12 Sep · 16:30
1:1
Full-time
Elche
Elche
L L D L W Away · last 5
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 42% · book 2.61 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 48% · book 2.10 ✓
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 51% · book 1.88 ✓
Total goals
2
1 · 1
Possession
66% – 34%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 2.61 — +8.4% better than the market.

Athletic Club looks to leverage their home momentum against struggling Elche, who have yet to find form this season. Athletic's recent wins and higher points per game suggest a pressing edge, while Elche's defensive lapses could be exploited. The match may see a moderate pace, with both sides showing signs of cautious buildup rather than open attacking flair.

  • Home side's better recent form and points tally
  • Elche's defensive vulnerabilities
  • Moderate tempo expected, favoring compact play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 2.61 ✓ Cashed
AI 42% Implied 38% +1.61u
+161%
ROI on stake

Lineups

BIL 4-2-3-1 · ELC 3-4-3
BIL · 4-2-3-1 3-4-3 · ELC 1 Simón 12 Areso 5 Yeray 14 Laporte 17 Yuri 16 Galarreta 24 Gerenabarrena 23 Navarro 8 Sancet 10 Williams 9 Williams ⚽ 1 Dituro 2 Sangaré 5 Redondo 23 Chust 20 Morente 47 Morcillo 12 Villar 3 Revivo 10 Buonanotte ⚽ 14 Niño 11 Valera
Subs used · BIL
65' Louis-Jean ↑ · Areso ↓
65' Jauregizar ↑ · Galarreta ↓
72' Berenguer ↑ · Muñoz ↓
81' Sannadi ↑ · Williams ↓
Subs used · ELC
69' Osorio ↑ · Rodríguez ↓
69' Lemar ↑ · Buonanotte ↓
76' Saez ↑ · Morente ↓
82' Cepeda ↑ · Valera ↓
83' Neto ↑ · Villar ↓

Statistics

BIL 1 – 1 ELC
66%
Possession (%)
34%
19
Total Shots
3
3
Shots on Target
1
13
Shots off Target
2
14
Shots Inside Box
1
7
Corner Kicks
1
4
Offsides
2
11
Fouls
12
3
Yellow Cards
3
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

17 · 1 – 1
Half-time · 0 – 0
50'
⚽
Facundo Buonanotte (P)
Penalty · 0–1
56'
▮
Federico Redondo Solari
Yellow Card
Johaneko Louis-Jean ↓ · Jesus Areso ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
65'
Mikel Jauregizar ↓ · Iñigo Ruiz De Galarreta ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
65'
69'
⇄
Abiel Alessio Osorio ↓ · Fernando Niño Rodríguez ↑
Substitution 1
69'
⇄
Thomas Lemar ↓ · Facundo Buonanotte ↑
Substitution 2
Alex Berenguer ↓ · Robert Navarro Muñoz ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
72'
75'
▮
Abiel Alessio Osorio
Yellow Card
76'
⇄
Ruben Sanchez Saez ↓ · Tete Morente ↑
Substitution 3
Iñaki Williams
Assist · Alex Berenguer · 1–1
⚽
79'
Alex Berenguer
Yellow Card
▮
81'
Beñat Gerenabarrena
Yellow Card
▮
81'
Maroan Sannadi ↓ · Iñaki Williams ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
81'
82'
⇄
Lucas Cepeda ↓ · Germán Valera ↑
Substitution 4
83'
⇄
Martim Neto ↓ · Gonzalo Villar ↑
Substitution 5
90+6'
▮
Ruben Sanchez Saez
Yellow Card
Yuri Berchiche
Yellow Card
▮
90+7'
Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Athletic Club and Elche drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 66% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 3, 3 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 7 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Facundo Buonanotte (50'), Iñaki Williams (79').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.27 units (Brier 0.182).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 2.61 2.84 42% Cashed +1.61 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.10 2.20 48% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.88 1.88 51% Cashed +0.88 Cashed
BTTS No 1.86 1.85 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.73 1.67 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.76 2.75 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.46 1.41 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 6.38 7.52 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.41 1.43 69% Cashed +0.41 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.12 1.10 80% Cashed +0.12 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.16 1.12 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.00 4.33 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 4.85 5.62 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.37 4.88 22% Cashed +3.37 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 1.02 93% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Under 0.5 13.00 12.99 7% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.21 1.20 75% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −1.27u −7% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
BIL – ELC @ 2.61
+8.4%
Edge
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