P
Prognosist
P
Home › Spain › La Liga › Athletic Club — Elche

Predictions by Market: Athletic Club vs Elche

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Home · last 5 L W W D D
Kick-off
Sat 12 Sep · 16:30
1:1
Full-time
Elche
Elche
L L D L W Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BIL
59%
Best 1.45
Draw
22%
Best 5.02
Away Win · ELC
20%
Best 7.80
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.61
Fair odds
2.41
book 2.61 · +8.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 42% · EV +8.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (80%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 58.5%
Odds 1.46
Show model details
Implied probability 68.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 19.7%
Odds 6.38
Show model details
Implied probability 15.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 21.8%
Odds 4.37
Show model details
Implied probability 22.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 48%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 52.1%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 30.6%
Odds 2.76
Show model details
Implied probability 36.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 69.4%
Odds 1.41
Show model details
Implied probability 70.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 24.5%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.7%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.3%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 75.5%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.1%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48.9%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 58.5%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 19.7%
Odds 4.85
Show model details
Implied probability 20.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 41.5%
Odds 2.61
Show model details
Implied probability 38.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 80.3%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
BIL – ELC @ 2.61
+8.4%
Edge
Forecast →