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Home › Spain › La Liga › Real Betis — Real Madrid

Real Betis vs Real Madrid 1:0: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Real Betis
Real Betis
Home · last 5 L W W W D
Kick-off
Fri 04 Sep · 19:00
1:0
Full-time
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
L W W L W Away · last 5
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 59% · book 1.91 ✓
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 40% · book 3.03 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 38% · book 3.10 ✓
Total goals
1
1 · 0
Possession
42% – 58%
AI accuracy
7 / 15
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.91 — +13.1% better than the market.

Real Betis hosts Real Madrid in a La Liga clash where Betis shows strong home momentum with recent wins and a higher points per game at home. Madrid’s impressive winning streak on the road is tempered by Betis’ solid defensive shape and ability to control tempo, suggesting a tactical battle. Expect a moderately paced game with chances for both sides, leaning towards a competitive encounter rather than a goal-fest.

  • Betis’ home form and pressing edge
  • Madrid’s away resilience and attacking threat
  • Balanced pace favoring tactical discipline

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.91 ✓ Cashed
AI 59% Implied 52% +0.91u
+91%
ROI on stake

Lineups

BET 4-2-3-1 · REA 4-2-3-1
BET · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · REA 1 Vallés 2 Bellerín 3 Llorente 4 Natan 11 García 21 Roca 6 Bernal 7 Antony 22 Isco 8 Fornals 9 Hernández 1 Courtois 24 Dumfries 16 Konaté 4 Huijsen 17 Cucurella 8 Valverde 6 Camavinga 15 Güler 5 Bellingham 7 Júnior 10 Mbappé ⚽
Subs used · BET
39' Bartra ↑ · Llorente ↓
60' Fidalgo ↑ · Isco ↓
68' Deossa ↑ · Bernal ↓
68' Parrott ↑ · Hernández ↓
77' Riquelme ↑ · Santos ↓
Subs used · REA
64' Silva ↑ · Camavinga ↓
64' Alexander-Arnold ↑ · Dumfries ↓
64' Diomande ↑ · Güler ↓
82' Espí ↑ · Valverde ↓
88' Carreras ↑ · Cucurella ↓

Statistics

BET 1 – 0 REA
42%
Possession (%)
58%
10
Total Shots
20
5
Shots on Target
8
2
Shots off Target
9
4
Shots Inside Box
16
6
Corner Kicks
10
1
Offsides
2
11
Fouls
13
3
Yellow Cards
3
6
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

20 · 1 – 0
Marc Bartra ↓ · Diego Llorente ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
39'
45+3'
▮
Arda Güler
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
54'
▮
Ibrahima Konaté
Yellow Card
54'
▮
José Mário dos Santos Mourinho Félix
Yellow Card
Álvaro Fidalgo ↓ · Isco ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
60'
61'
▮
Eduardo Camavinga
Yellow Card
Facundo Bernal
Yellow Card
▮
64'
64'
⇄
Bernardo Silva ↓ · Eduardo Camavinga ↑
Substitution 1
64'
⇄
Trent Alexander-Arnold ↓ · Denzel Dumfries ↑
Substitution 2
64'
⇄
Yan Diomande ↓ · Arda Güler ↑
Substitution 3
Nelson Deossa ↓ · Facundo Bernal ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
68'
Troy Parrott ↓ · Cucho Hernández ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
68'
Rodrigo Riquelme ↓ · Antony Matheus dos Santos ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
77'
Troy Parrott
1–0
⚽
81'
82'
⇄
Carlos Espí ↓ · Federico Valverde ↑
Substitution 4
Marc Roca
Yellow Card
▮
83'
88'
⇄
Álvaro Fernández Carreras ↓ · Marc Cucurella ↑
Substitution 5
Natan Bernardo de Souza
Yellow Card
▮
90+3'
90+4'
⚽
Kylian Mbappé (P)
Penalty · 1–1
90+9'
▮
Vinícius
Yellow Card
Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Real Betis beat Real Madrid 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 58% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 10, 8 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 10 to 6. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Troy Parrott (81').

Model audit for this match: of 15 graded markets, 7 landed and 8 missed, for a net +12.79 units (Brier 0.395).

Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.91 1.91 59% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 3.03 2.76 40% Cashed +2.03 Cashed
Under 2.5 3.10 3.10 38% Cashed +2.10 Cashed
BTTS No 2.40 2.50 41% Cashed +1.40 Cashed
Over 3.5 1.91 1.91 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 5.97 6.21 24% Cashed +4.97 Cashed
Under 1.5 5.50 6.49 20% Cashed +4.50 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.53 1.50 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.13 1.12 76% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.40 1.36 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 1.38 1.44 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 5.88 4.57 20% Cashed +4.88 Cashed
Draw 4.55 5.13 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.11 1.10 80% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.19 1.18 55% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each — — — 7 W · 8 L +12.79u +85% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
BET – REA @ 1.91
+13.1%
Edge
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