Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club 0:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 1.5 at 3.22 — +13.7% better than the market.

Celta Vigo shows a slight home momentum with a recent draw contrasting Athletic Club's losing streak, suggesting a subtle form edge. The matchup hints at a cautious tempo, supported by odds favoring under 2.5 goals, indicating a compact defensive battle. Expect a tactical game where Celta's home familiarity and pressing could challenge Athletic's resilience.

Home side's steadier recent form
Likely low-scoring, tight contest
Defensive discipline may dominate

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 1.5

Under 1.5 @ 3.22 ✗ Lost

AI 35% Implied 31% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

CEL 3-4-3 · BIL 4-2-3-1

CEL · 3-4-3 4-2-3-1 · BIL

9 Jutglà

Subs used · CEL

46'

Aspas ↑ ·

Gonzalez ↓

46'

Rueda ↑ ·

Rodriguez ↓

46'

Lago ↑ ·

Faye ↓

46'

Roman ↑ ·

Moriba ↓

57'

Alvarez ↑ ·

Swedberg ↓

Subs used · BIL

65'

Guruzeta ↑ ·

Williams ↓

65'

Jauregizar ↑ ·

Ruiz de Galarreta ↓

65'

Canales ↑ ·

Sancet ↓

74'

Williams ↑ ·

Navarro ↓

86'

Louis-Jean ↑ ·

Areso ↓

Statistics

CEL 0 – 2 BIL

54%

Possession (%)

46%

0.56

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.64

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

15 · 0 – 2

20'

⚽

A. Berenguer

Assist · I. Williams · 0–1

22'

⚽

R. Navarro

Assist · I. Ruiz de Galarreta · 0–2

Half-time · 0 – 2

I. Aspas ↓ · H. Gonzalez ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

46'

J. Rueda ↓ · J. Rodriguez ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

46'

Y. Lago ↓ · A. Faye ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

46'

M. Roman ↓ · I. Moriba ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

46'

48'

▮

Y. Berchiche

Yellow Card

H. Alvarez ↓ · W. Swedberg ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

57'

61'

▮

R. Navarro

Yellow Card

65'

⇄

G. Guruzeta ↓ · I. Williams ↑

Substitution 1

65'

⇄

M. Jauregizar ↓ · I. Ruiz de Galarreta ↑

Substitution 2

65'

⇄

P. Canales ↓ · O. Sancet ↑

Substitution 3

71'

▮

B. Gerenabarrena

Yellow Card

74'

⇄

N. Williams ↓ · R. Navarro ↑

Substitution 4

86'

⇄

J. Louis-Jean ↓ · J. Areso ↑

Substitution 5

Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

Athletic Club won 2–0 away at Celta Vigo. At half-time it was 0–2.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.64 to 0.56. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 8, 7 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 4. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: A. Berenguer (20'), R. Navarro (22').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.30 units (Brier 0.164).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	1.94	1.95	56%	Cashed	+0.94	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.73	1.73	62%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
Home Win	2.69	2.69	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.82	1.81	44%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.10	2.20	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.97	1.96	36%	Cashed	+0.97	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.93	1.93	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.44	1.44	64%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.22	3.10	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.00	2.78	34%	Cashed	+2.00	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.36	1.42	66%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.00	8.00	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.26	1.25	80%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.03	1.06	88%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Draw	3.35	3.17	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.33	1.36	65%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.66	3.80	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.30u	−19% ROI

Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club 0:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled