🧠 Model verdict
Model leans toward Under 2.5 goals — 62% probability.
Also rated highly: both teams not to score 56%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Celta Vigo shows a slight home momentum with a recent draw contrasting Athletic Club's losing streak, suggesting a subtle form edge. The matchup hints at a cautious tempo, supported by odds favoring under 2.5 goals, indicating a compact defensive battle. Expect a tactical game where Celta's home familiarity and pressing could challenge Athletic's resilience.
- Home side's steadier recent form
- Likely low-scoring, tight contest
- Defensive discipline may dominate
✓ Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 40% | Celta Vigo win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 62% | Under 2.5 |
| BTTS | 56% | No |
| Double Chance | 66% | 1X |
- 1X2 Celta Vigo win 40%
- Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 62%
- BTTS No 56%
- Double Chance 1X 66%
📈 Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
≡ Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Celta Vigo
W/D/L
2-2-1
Goals (for / against)
5 / 4
Avg goals / match
1.8
Scored in
4/5
Clean sheets
3/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
1/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Away (W-D-L)
1-2-0
xG (for / against)
0.92 / 1.48
Athletic Club
W/D/L
0-1-4
Goals (for / against)
4 / 11
Avg goals / match
3.0
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
0/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
2/5
Home (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Away (W-D-L)
0-0-2
xG (for / against)
1.29 / 0.86
⚔ Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
📡 Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
🎯 Scenario insights
①
Celta Vigo wins when scoring first
60%
①
Athletic Club wins when scoring first
50%
⚽
Celta Vigo BTTS rate · last 10
50%
⚽
Athletic Club BTTS rate · last 10
60%
↑
Celta Vigo Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↑
Athletic Club Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
↩
Celta Vigo comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Athletic Club comeback rate · last 10
20%
🔥 Goal timing
Celta Vigo · last 10 at home
0–15
10%
16–30
20%
31–45
15%
46–60
25%
61–75
0%
76–90
30%
Athletic Club · last 10 away
0–15
7%
16–30
7%
31–45
21%
46–60
21%
61–75
14%
76–90
29%
Second-half-heavy — most goals come after the break.
