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Home › Spain › La Liga › Celta Vigo — Athletic Club

Predictions by Market: Celta Vigo vs Athletic Club

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo
Home · last 5 L D D D W
Kick-off
Sun 30 Aug · 19:30
0:2
Full-time
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
L W W D D Away · last 5
Municipal de Balaídos · Vigo Referee M. Busquets

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · CEL
36%
Best 2.75
Draw
27%
Best 3.30
Away Win · BIL
34%
Best 2.88
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.22
Fair odds
2.83
book 3.22 · +13.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 35% · EV +13.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (65%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 35.9%
Odds 2.69
Show model details
Implied probability 37.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 33.6%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 26.7%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 61.7%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 38.3%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 35.3%
Odds 3.22
Show model details
Implied probability 31.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 11.9%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 80.3%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 88.1%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 64.7%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 19.7%
Odds 3.66
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 55.5%
Odds 1.94
Show model details
Implied probability 51.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 44.5%
Odds 1.82
Show model details
Implied probability 55.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 35.9%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 35.9%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 52%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 64.1%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 66.4%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
CEL – BIL @ 3.22
+13.7%
Edge
Forecast →