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Home › England › Premier League › Bournemouth — Liverpool

Bournemouth vs Liverpool 0:1: Match Review & Stats

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Home · last 5 D D D L L
Kick-off
Sun 20 Sep · 13:00
0:1
Full-time
Liverpool
Liverpool
D D W D W Away · last 5
Vitality Stadium · Bournemouth Referee Michael Oliver
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 57% · book 1.76 ✓
Miss
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 57% · book 1.74 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 35% · book 2.74 ✓
Total goals
1
0 · 1
Possession
46% – 54%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 3.05 — +1.0% better than the market.

Bournemouth hosts Liverpool in a Premier League clash where recent form and quality edge favor the visitors. Liverpool's slightly better points per game and attacking threat suggest they hold a pressing advantage, though Bournemouth's home resilience and compact block could limit clear chances. The match hints at a balanced tempo with moderate goal expectations, supported by odds favoring over 2.5 goals but cautious on high scoring.

  • Liverpool's attacking momentum vs Bournemouth's defensive solidity
  • Home side's form shows signs of struggle, away side steadier
  • Moderate pace likely, with set-piece opportunities important

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 3.05 ✗ Lost
AI 33% Implied 33% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

BOU 4-2-3-1 · LIV 4-2-3-1
Subs used · BOU
75' Cook ↑ · Smith ↓
75' Jebbison ↑ · Christie ↓
75' Brooks ↑ · Tavernier ↓
88' Gannon-Doak ↑ · Adams ↓
88' Tóth ↑ · Rocha ↓
Subs used · LIV
71' Nyoni ↑ · Wirtz ↓
72' Muñoz ↑ · Barcola ↓
81' Koumas ↑ · Isak ↓
81' Gravenberch ↑ · Szoboszlai ↓

Statistics

BOU 0 – 1 LIV
46%
Possession (%)
54%
9
Total Shots
12
2
Shots on Target
3
5
Shots off Target
3
5
Shots Inside Box
7
3
Corner Kicks
3
4
Offsides
2
11
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

13 · 0 – 1
Half-time · 0 – 0
46'
▮
Dominik Szoboszlai
Yellow Card
57'
⚽
Alexander Isak
0–1
58'
▮
Alexander Isak
Yellow Card
71'
⇄
Treymaurice Nyoni ↓ · Florian Wirtz ↑
Substitution 1
72'
⇄
Víctor Muñoz ↓ · Bradley Barcola ↑
Substitution 2
Lewis Cook ↓ · Adam Smith ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
75'
Daniel Jebbison ↓ · Ryan Christie ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
75'
David Brooks ↓ · Marcus Tavernier ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
75'
81'
⇄
Lewis Koumas ↓ · Alexander Isak ↑
Substitution 3
81'
⇄
Ryan Gravenberch ↓ · Dominik Szoboszlai ↑
Substitution 4
Antonio Silva
Yellow Card
▮
81'
Ben Gannon-Doak ↓ · Tyler Adams ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
88'
Alex Tóth ↓ · Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
88'
Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Liverpool won 1–0 away at Bournemouth. At half-time it was 0–0.

For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Alexander Isak (57').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +1.53 units (Brier 0.282).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.76 1.67 57% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.74 1.67 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.74 2.62 35% Cashed +1.74 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.62 2.50 36% Cashed +1.62 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.15 2.20 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.10 2.17 43% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.40 2.38 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.61 1.63 43% Cashed +0.61 Cashed
Home Win 3.05 3.15 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.42 1.44 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.43 1.48 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.35 1.36 67% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.02 1.02 95% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.12 1.11 83% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.83 3.75 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.33 5.49 17% Cashed +4.33 Cashed
Under 0.5 17.00 18.87 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +1.53u +9% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
BOU – LIV @ 3.05
+1.0%
Edge
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