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Home › England › Premier League › Bournemouth — Liverpool

Predictions by Market: Bournemouth vs Liverpool

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Home · last 5 D D D L L
Kick-off
Sun 20 Sep · 13:00
0:1
Full-time
Liverpool
Liverpool
D D W D W Away · last 5
Vitality Stadium · Bournemouth Referee Michael Oliver

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BOU
33%
Best 3.13
Draw
24%
Best 3.88
Away Win · LIV
43%
Best 2.28
Value pick
Home Win
@ 3.05
Fair odds
3.02
book 3.05 · +1.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 33% · EV +1.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Away Win is more likely (43%), but Home Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 42.8%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 33.1%
Odds 3.05
Show model details
Implied probability 32.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 24.1%
Odds 3.83
Show model details
Implied probability 26.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 57%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 57%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 36.1%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 43%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 63.9%
Odds 1.43
Show model details
Implied probability 69.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.1%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 83%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 17%
Odds 5.33
Show model details
Implied probability 18.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4.9%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 34.7%
Odds 2.74
Show model details
Implied probability 36.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 65.3%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 33.1%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 42.8%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 57.3%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 66.9%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
BOU – LIV @ 3.05
+1.0%
Edge
Forecast →