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Home › England › Premier League › Ipswich — Liverpool

Ipswich vs Liverpool 0:2: Match Review & Stats

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Ipswich
Ipswich
Home · last 5 L L W L W
Kick-off
Fri 04 Sep · 19:00
0:2
Full-time
Liverpool
Liverpool
D D W D W Away · last 5
Referee D. England
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 54% · book 2.10 ✗
Miss
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 48% · book 2.30 ✗
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 49% · book 1.64 ✓
Total goals
2
0 · 2
Possession
45% – 55%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 2.10 — +13.6% better than the market.

Ipswich come off a strong recent win and hold a slight form edge over Liverpool, who have drawn their last two. Despite Liverpool's higher expected goals, Ipswich's home momentum and sharper finishing could make this a lively contest. The match hints at an open pace with both sides likely to create chances.

  • Ipswich's recent win boosts confidence at home
  • Liverpool's solid defense tested by Ipswich's attack
  • High chance of goals given attacking tendencies and recent form

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5
Over 3.5 @ 2.10 ✗ Lost
AI 54% Implied 48% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

IPS 4-2-3-1 · LIV 4-2-3-1
Subs used · IPS
66' Clarke ↑ · Maeda ↓
66' Flemming ↑ · Emersonn ↓
78' Ouattara ↑ · Palacios ↓
79' McAteer ↑ · Issahaku ↓
Subs used · LIV
64' Gravenberch ↑ · Isak ↓
64' Barcola ↑ · Muñoz ↓
84' Nyoni ↑ · Allister ↓
90+1' Koumas ↑ · Wirtz ↓

Statistics

IPS 0 – 2 LIV
45%
Possession (%)
55%
14
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
7
5
Shots off Target
1
4
Shots Inside Box
5
4
Corner Kicks
3
5
Offsides
4
6
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
3
5
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

14 · 0 – 2
6'
⚽
Alexander Isak
Assist · Cody Gakpo · 0–1
9'
⚽
Alexander Isak
Assist · Cody Gakpo · 0–2
10'
▮
Alexis Mac Allister
Yellow Card
Julio Enciso
Yellow Card
▮
41'
Half-time · 0 – 2
52'
▮
Jérémy Jacquet
Yellow Card
57'
▮
Milos Kerkez
Yellow Card
64'
⇄
Ryan Gravenberch ↓ · Alexander Isak ↑
Substitution 1
64'
⇄
Bradley Barcola ↓ · Víctor Muñoz ↑
Substitution 2
Jack Clarke ↓ · Daizen Maeda ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
66'
Zian Flemming ↓ · Emersonn ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
66'
Abdoul Ouattara ↓ · Exequiel Palacios ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
78'
Kasey McAteer ↓ · Abdul Fatawu Issahaku ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
79'
84'
⇄
Treymaurice Nyoni ↓ · Alexis Mac Allister ↑
Substitution 3
90+1'
⇄
Lewis Koumas ↓ · Florian Wirtz ↑
Substitution 4
Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

Liverpool won 2–0 away at Ipswich. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 10, 5 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Alexander Isak (6'), Alexander Isak (9').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.16 units (Brier 0.207).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 2.10 2.10 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 2.30 2.50 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.64 1.75 49% Cashed +0.64 Cashed
BTTS No 2.29 2.48 31% Cashed +1.29 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.77 2.80 26% Cashed +1.77 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.59 1.50 69% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.50 1.40 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 5.13 5.38 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.18 1.16 74% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Away Win 1.57 1.50 52% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
AH Home 0 3.82 4.33 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.14 1.08 87% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.02 1.02 96% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Draw 4.33 4.74 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.98 5.99 13% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.23 1.19 52% Cashed +0.23 Cashed
Under 0.5 17.00 18.87 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −4.16u −24% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
IPS – LIV @ 2.10
+13.6%
Edge
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