Match Spain vs Austria July 2, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 3.45 — +14.1% better than the market.

Spain vs Austria Preview

Spain arrives with strong home momentum, boasting a solid defensive record and a high goal-scoring rate in qualifiers. Their compact block and pressing edge could challenge Austria’s attack, which, while effective, concedes more chances. Austria’s resilience and decent form suggest they won’t be easy to break down, but Spain’s superior control and set-piece threat likely tilt the balance. Expect a lively encounter with a good chance of multiple goals given Spain’s attacking prowess and Austria’s willingness to engage.

Spain’s defensive solidity and pressing intensity
Austria’s resilience and counter-attacking potential
High tempo likely with goal-scoring opportunities on both sides

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2

Double Chance X2 @ 3.45 ✗ Lost

AI 33% Implied 29% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SPA 4-1-2-3 · AUS 4-2-3-1

SPA · 4-1-2-3 4-2-3-1 · AUS

15 Baena

Subs used · SPA

71'

Torres ↑ ·

Baena ↓

71'

Merino ↑ ·

Olmo ↓

85'

Gavi ↑ ·

Yamal ↓

90+3'

Ruiz ↑ ·

Pedri ↓

90+3'

Pubill ↑ ·

Laporte ↓

Subs used · AUS

46'

Chukwuemeka ↑ ·

Seiwald ↓

46'

Grillitsch ↑ ·

Schlager ↓

60'

Arnautovic ↑ ·

Gregoritsch ↓

60'

Kalajdzic ↑ ·

Schmid ↓

85'

Prass ↑ ·

Posch ↓

📊 Statistics

SPA 3 – 0 AUS

65%

Possession (%)

35%

2.84

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.32

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

91%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

14 · 3 – 0

M. Oyarzabal

Assist · M. Cucurella · 1–0

⚽

36'

Half-time · 1 – 0

46'

⇄

C. Chukwuemeka ↓ · N. Seiwald ↑

Substitution 1

46'

⇄

F. Grillitsch ↓ · X. Schlager ↑

Substitution 2

60'

⇄

M. Arnautovic ↓ · M. Gregoritsch ↑

Substitution 3

60'

⇄

S. Kalajdzic ↓ · R. Schmid ↑

Substitution 4

P. Porro

Assist · A. Baena · 2–0

⚽

66'

F. Torres ↓ · A. Baena ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

71'

M. Merino ↓ · D. Olmo ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

71'

83'

▮

S. Posch

Yellow Card

Gavi ↓ · Lamine Yamal ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

85'

⇄

A. Prass ↓ · S. Posch ↑

Substitution 5

M. Oyarzabal

Assist · M. Cucurella · 3–0

⚽

89'

F. Ruiz ↓ · Pedri ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90+3'

M. Pubill ↓ · A. Laporte ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90+3'

Full-time · 3 – 0

Match recap

Spain beat Austria 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 65% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 91% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.84 to 0.32. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 5, 10 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 0. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.

On the scoresheet: M. Oyarzabal (36'), P. Porro (66'), M. Oyarzabal (89').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -6.68 units (Brier 0.097).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.73	1.67	64%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.22	2.12	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.19	2.20	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	12.70	11.36	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.75	2.62	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	3.45	3.68	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.05	1.05	87%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Home Win	1.29	1.26	67%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
BTTS No	1.61	1.68	47%	Cashed	+0.61	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.04	1.08	67%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.19	1.19	84%	Cashed	+0.19	Cashed
Draw	5.00	5.49	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	1.02	94%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
AH Away 0	7.20	7.30	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.39	1.45	58%	Cashed	+0.39	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.33	4.50	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.65	12.99	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−6.68u	−39% ROI