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Home World World Cup Spain — Austria

Preview Spain vs Austria July 2, 2026

World   /   World Cup
Spain
Spain
Home · last 5 D W W
Kick-off
Thu 02 Jul · 19:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Austria
Austria
W L D Away · last 5
Home Win · SPA
67%
Best 1.36
Draw
20%
Best 5.29
Away Win · AUS
13%
Best 11.00

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward Spain to win — 67% probability.

Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 60%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Spain vs Austria Preview

Spain arrives with strong home momentum, boasting a solid defensive record and a high goal-scoring rate in qualifiers. Their compact block and pressing edge could challenge Austria’s attack, which, while effective, concedes more chances. Austria’s resilience and decent form suggest they won’t be easy to break down, but Spain’s superior control and set-piece threat likely tilt the balance. Expect a lively encounter with a good chance of multiple goals given Spain’s attacking prowess and Austria’s willingness to engage.

  • Spain’s defensive solidity and pressing intensity
  • Austria’s resilience and counter-attacking potential
  • High tempo likely with goal-scoring opportunities on both sides

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 67% Spain win
Over/Under 2.5 60% Over 2.5
BTTS 53% Yes
Double Chance 87% 1X
  • 1X2 Spain win 67%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60%
  • BTTS Yes 53%
  • Double Chance 1X 87%
Open betting analysis

📈 Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
⚠️ Sharp move on Away Win · 13.35 ↓ 9.78 (-27%)
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Spain
W/D/L 3-2-0
Goals (for / against) 10 / 3
Avg goals / match 2.6
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 3/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-2-0
Away (W-D-L) 2-0-0
xG (for / against) 2.00 / 0.21
Austria
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 9 / 7
Avg goals / match 3.2
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-1
xG (for / against) 1.20 / 1.60

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.67
Goals Scored
2
0
Goals Conceded
2
2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
5.33
Shots on Target
2.67
7.67
Corners
3.33
69.33
Possession (%)
48
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

🌍 Qualification form

Statistics based on recent World Cup qualification matches.
Spain Medium data confidence
D W W W W
Matches6
Goals for / against21 / 2
Goals for / match3.50
Goals against / match0.33
Clean sheets83.3%
Both teams to score16.7%
Over 1.5 goals100.0%
Over 2.5 goals83.3%
xG for / match3.14
xG against / match0.32
Avg corners7.2
Avg shots22.5
Avg shots on target9.5
Sources: UEFA World Cup Qualification
Austria High data confidence
D W L W W
Matches8
Goals for / against22 / 4
Goals for / match2.75
Goals against / match0.50
Clean sheets50.0%
Both teams to score37.5%
Over 1.5 goals75.0%
Over 2.5 goals50.0%
xG for / match2.19
xG against / match1.06
Avg corners4.4
Avg shots13.4
Avg shots on target6.8
Sources: UEFA World Cup Qualification

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
92
OFF · home
73
94
DEF · home
73
44
OFF · away
48
98
DEF · away
19
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Spain wins when scoring first
100%
Austria wins when scoring first
50%
Spain BTTS rate · last 10
20%
Austria BTTS rate · last 10
40%
Spain Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
Austria Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
Spain comeback rate · last 10
Austria comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Spain · last 2 at home

0–15 33%
16–30 67%
31–45 0%
46–60 0%
61–75 0%
76–90 0%

Austria · last 2 away

0–15 0%
16–30 33%
31–45 0%
46–60 33%
61–75 0%
76–90 33%
Front-loaded — most goals fall in the opening half-hour.

Top scorers

Mikel Oyarzabal
SPA · Attacker
2 G · 0.85 g/90