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Home › World › World Cup › Spain — Austria

Predictions by Market: Spain vs Austria

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
Spain
Spain
Home · last 5 W W W W W
Kick-off
Thu 02 Jul · 19:00
3:0
Full-time
Austria
Austria
W L D L Away · last 5
Referee Glenn Nyberg, Sweden

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ESP
67%
Best 1.31
Draw
20%
Best 5.90
Away Win · AUT
13%
Best 13.00
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 3.45
Fair odds
3.02
book 3.45 · +14.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 33% · EV +14.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (87%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win
Probability 13%
Odds 12.70
Show model details
Implied probability 7.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 66.9%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 20.1%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 63.7%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 35.6%
Odds 2.19
Show model details
Implied probability 45.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 84.1%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.9%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 16.3%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.1%
Odds 9.65
Show model details
Implied probability 10.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Value pick
Probability 52.8%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS No
Probability 47.2%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 66.9%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 13%
Odds 7.20
Show model details
Implied probability 13.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 33.1%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 87%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
ESP – AUT @ 3.45
+14.1%
Edge
Forecast →