Match England vs Croatia June 17, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

England vs Croatia Preview

England arrives with perfect defensive form, boasting multiple clean sheets and a compact backline that has yet to concede in qualifiers. Croatia counters with a potent attack, averaging over three goals per game, promising an engaging tactical battle. The neutral venue and recent strong winning streaks for both sides suggest a tight contest, with England's home momentum slightly tempered by Croatia's offensive threat.

England's defensive solidity underpins their confidence.
Croatia's high-scoring offense challenges the home side.
Neutral ground levels the usual home advantage.

Expect a measured pace with chances on both ends but a cautious approach given the stakes. The match may lean towards a low-scoring affair, reflecting England's disciplined defense and Croatia's balanced attack.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

ENG 4-2-3-1 · CRO 3-4-2-1

ENG · 4-2-3-1 3-4-2-1 · CRO

9 Kane ⚽

Subs used · ENG

72'

Rashford ↑ ·

Gordon ↓

72'

Saka ↑ ·

Madueke ↓

72'

Rogers ↑ ·

Rice ↓

80'

Spence ↑ ·

Bellingham ↓

87'

Guehi ↑ ·

Stones ↓

Subs used · CRO

58'

Kovacic ↑ ·

Modric ↓

66'

Pasalic ↑ ·

Vuskovic ↓

66'

Matanovic ↑ ·

Musa ↓

78'

Vlasic ↑ ·

Baturina ↓

79'

Kramaric ↑ ·

Pasalic ↓

📊 Statistics

ENG 4 – 2 CRO

52%

Possession (%)

48%

2.80

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.71

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 4 – 2

H. Kane (P)

Penalty · 1–0

⚽

12'

36'

⚽

M. Baturina

Assist · P. Sucic · 1–1

H. Kane

Assist · D. Rice · 2–1

⚽

42'

Half-time · 2 – 1

J. Bellingham

Assist · E. Anderson · 3–1

⚽

47'

45+5'

⚽

P. Musa

Assist · I. Perisic · 3–2

58'

⇄

M. Kovacic ↓ · L. Modric ↑

Substitution 1

66'

⇄

M. Pasalic ↓ · L. Vuskovic ↑

Substitution 2

66'

⇄

I. Matanovic ↓ · P. Musa ↑

Substitution 3

M. Rashford ↓ · A. Gordon ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

72'

B. Saka ↓ · N. Madueke ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

72'

M. Rogers ↓ · D. Rice ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

72'

78'

⇄

N. Vlasic ↓ · M. Baturina ↑

Substitution 4

79'

⇄

A. Kramaric ↓ · M. Pasalic ↑

Substitution 5

D. Spence ↓ · J. Bellingham ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

80'

M. Rashford

Assist · B. Saka · 4–2

⚽

85'

M. Guehi ↓ · J. Stones ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

87'

Full-time · 4 – 2

Match recap

England beat Croatia 4–2 at home. At half-time it was 2–2.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.80 to 0.71. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 10, 11 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves.

On the scoresheet: H. Kane (12'), M. Baturina (36'), H. Kane (42'), P. Musa (45+5'), J. Bellingham (47'), M. Rashford (85').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.28 units (Brier 0.208).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	2.08	2.12	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.72	1.80	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.10	2.09	45%	Cashed	+1.10	Cashed
BTTS No	1.72	1.79	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	2.05	1.95	46%	Cashed	+1.05	Cashed
Home Win	1.73	1.67	51%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
Under 1.5	3.00	3.30	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.88	5.38	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.22	1.28	77%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	4.00	3.70	23%	Cashed	+3.00	Cashed
Draw	3.75	3.77	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.34	1.33	69%	Cashed	+0.34	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.03	1.06	90%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Under 0.5	9.00	9.01	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.18	1.16	76%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
AH Away 0	3.44	3.60	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.29	1.25	51%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.28u	−13% ROI