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Home › World › World Cup › England — Croatia

Predictions by Market: England vs Croatia

World   /   World Cup Value pick inside
England
England
Home · last 5 W W W L W
Kick-off
Wed 17 Jun · 20:00
4:2
Full-time
Croatia
Croatia
L W W L Away · last 5
Referee Clement Turpin, France

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · ENG
51%
Best 1.73
Draw
25%
Best 3.90
Away Win · CRO
24%
Best 5.50
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.08
Fair odds
2.05
book 2.08 · +1.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 49% · EV +1.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (76%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
No value bet found The model's probabilities are close to bookmaker prices, so there is no clear edge right now. The markets below show the most likely outcomes, not value bets.
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 51.2%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 24%
Odds 4.88
Show model details
Implied probability 20.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 24.8%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 55%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 45%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 30.9%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 76.6%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 23.4%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 69.1%
Odds 1.34
Show model details
Implied probability 74.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 89.7%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 10.3%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 54.5%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 45.6%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 24%
Odds 3.44
Show model details
Implied probability 29.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 51.2%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 48.8%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Best in group
Probability 76%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 85.1%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
ENG – CRO @ 2.08
+1.2%
Edge
Forecast →