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Real Betis vs Real Madrid 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Real Betis
Real Betis
Home · last 5 W D W L W
Kick-off
Fri 24 Apr · 19:00
1:1
Full-time
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
W L W W W Away · last 5
Referee César Soto Grado, Spain
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 59% · book 1.94 ✗
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 44% · book 2.36 ✗
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 56% · book 1.69 ✓
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.02 – 1.07
Δ −0.05
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 1.94 — +13.7% better than the market.

Real Madrid enter this clash with a clear quality edge, boasting a stronger overall squad and a potent attack that challenges Betis' defense. Despite Betis' better recent form and home momentum, Madrid's pressing and tactical discipline could tip the balance. The game hints at a lively tempo with chances at both ends, though Betis' compact block and set-piece threat may keep it tight.

  • Madrid's offensive firepower vs Betis' defensive resilience
  • Home momentum favors Betis but Madrid's quality shines
  • Potential for goals given attacking intent on both sides

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 1.94 ✗ Lost
AI 59% Implied 52% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

BET 4-2-3-1 · REA 4-4-2
Subs used · BET
32' Llorente ↑ · Bartra ↓
46' Roca ↑ · Fidalgo ↓
46' Hernandez ↑ · Bakambu ↓
68' Lo Celso ↑ · Fornals ↓
73' Isco ↑ · Amrabat ↓
Subs used · REA
73' Alaba ↑ · Huijsen ↓
73' Camavinga ↑ · Pitarch ↓
81' Garcia ↑ · Mbappe ↓
82' Angel ↑ · Diaz ↓

Statistics

BET 1 – 1 REA
52%
Possession (%)
48%
1.02
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.07
19
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
8
10
Shots off Target
2
12
Shots Inside Box
10
7
Corner Kicks
6
1
Offsides
3
10
Fouls
8
90%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
1
Yellow Cards
2
7
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match events

14 · 1 – 1
17'
⚽
Vinicius Junior
0–1
D. Llorente ↓ · M. Bartra ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
32'
Sofyan Amrabat
Yellow Card
▮
38'
40'
▮
Dean Huijsen
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 1
M. Roca ↓ · A. Fidalgo ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
46'
Cucho Hernandez ↓ · C. Bakambu ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
46'
G. Lo Celso ↓ · P. Fornals ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
68'
72'
▮
Trent Alexander-Arnold
Yellow Card
Isco ↓ · S. Amrabat ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
73'
73'
⇄
D. Alaba ↓ · D. Huijsen ↑
Substitution 1
73'
⇄
E. Camavinga ↓ · T. Pitarch ↑
Substitution 2
81'
⇄
G. Garcia ↓ · K. Mbappe ↑
Substitution 3
82'
⇄
Manuel Angel ↓ · B. Diaz ↑
Substitution 4
H. Bellerin
Assist · G. Lo Celso · 1–1
⚽
90'
Full-time · 1 – 1

Match recap

Real Betis and Real Madrid drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 12, 4 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Vinicius Junior (17'), H. Bellerin (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.33 units (Brier 0.195).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.94 — 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.36 — 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.69 — 56% Cashed +0.69 Cashed
BTTS No 2.65 — 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.65 — 34% Cashed +1.65 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.98 — 41% Cashed +0.98 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.45 — 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.32 — 81% Cashed +0.32 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.53 — 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.50 — 65% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.17 — 85% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 — 96% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Draw 4.33 — 22% Cashed +3.33 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.85 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.60 — 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 19.00 — 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.75 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −1.33u −8% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
BET – REA @ 1.94
+13.7%
Edge
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