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Prognosist
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Home England Premier League Manchester City — Bournemouth

Match Manchester City vs Bournemouth November 2, 2025 — Result and Stats

Manchester City
Manchester City
Home · last 5 D W W D L
Kick-off
Sun 02 Nov · 16:30
3:1
Full-time
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
D W W D D Away · last 5
Etihad Stadium · Manchester Referee Anthony Taylor, England
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 43% · book 2.43
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 60% · book 1.70
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 57% · book 1.66
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
2.21 – 0.72
Δ +1.49
Possession
49% – 51%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Manchester City hosts Bournemouth with a clear quality edge and home momentum. City's potent attack faces a less resilient Bournemouth defense, suggesting chances for goals. Both teams show decent form, but City's home edge and sharper offensive play hint at a lively contest with multiple goals likely. The match pace leans towards an open game, favoring City's pressing and creativity.

  • City's strong home presence and attacking threat
  • Bournemouth's defensive vulnerabilities against high press
  • Recent form favors City's sharper finishing

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

MCI 4-3-2-1 · BOU 4-2-3-1
Subs used · MCI
73' Reijnders ↑ · Cherki
73' Savinho ↑ · Doku
82' Marmoush ↑ · Haaland
90' Rodri ↑ · Silva
90' Ait Nouri ↑ · Foden
Subs used · BOU
62' Cook ↑ · Jimenez
62' Evanilson ↑ · J. Kroupi
62' Kluivert ↑ · Brooks
73' Christie ↑ · Scott
80' Doak ↑ · Adams

📊 Statistics

MCI 31 BOU
49%
Possession (%)
51%
2.21
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.72
15
Total Shots
8
8
Shots on Target
5
4
Shots off Target
2
13
Shots Inside Box
4
9
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
3
8
Fouls
11
86%
Pass Accuracy (%)
89%
2
Yellow Cards
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

18 · 3 – 1
E. Haaland
Assist · R. Cherki · 1–0
17'
25'
T. Adams
1–1
Gianluigi Donnarumma
Yellow Card
26'
E. Haaland
Assist · R. Cherki · 2–1
33'
Phil Foden
Yellow Card
45+2'
Half-time · 2 – 1
N. O'Reilly
Assist · P. Foden · 3–1
60'
62'
L. Cook ↓ · A. Jimenez ↑
Substitution 1
62'
Evanilson ↓ · E. J. Kroupi ↑
Substitution 2
62'
J. Kluivert ↓ · D. Brooks ↑
Substitution 3
65'
Adrien Truffert
Yellow Card
T. Reijnders ↓ · R. Cherki ↑
Substitution 1
73'
Savinho ↓ · J. Doku ↑
Substitution 2
73'
73'
R. Christie ↓ · A. Scott ↑
Substitution 4
80'
B. Doak ↓ · T. Adams ↑
Substitution 5
O. Marmoush ↓ · E. Haaland ↑
Substitution 3
82'
87'
Justin Kluivert
Yellow Card
Rodri ↓ · B. Silva ↑
Substitution 4
90'
R. Ait Nouri ↓ · P. Foden ↑
Substitution 5
90'
Full-time · 3 – 1

Match recap

Manchester City beat Bournemouth 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–1.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.21 to 0.72. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 8, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 9 to 4. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: E. Haaland (17'), T. Adams (25'), E. Haaland (33'), N. O'Reilly (60').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.15 units (Brier 0.099).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 2.43 43% Cashed +1.43 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.70 60% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.66 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.50 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.22 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.69 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.55 68% Cashed +0.55 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.16 88% Cashed +0.16 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.57 64% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.21 68% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.19 84% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.04 96% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Draw 4.85 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.50 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 18.50 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 6.07 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 4.81 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.15u −30% ROI