Match Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid March 22, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

Real Madrid arrives with strong home momentum, boasting a significant quality edge and a potent attack against Atletico's sturdy defense. Their recent form shows resilience despite a minor slip, while Atletico's away struggles and lower offensive threat suggest a challenging night. Expect a dynamic pace given the over 2.5 goals odds, with Madrid's pressing edge likely to create key chances.

Home advantage at Santiago Bernabéu
Superior attacking vs defensive matchup
Recent form favors Real Madrid's consistency

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

REA 4-4-2 · ATM 4-4-2

REA · 4-4-2 4-4-2 · ATM

7 Júnior ⚽

Subs used · REA

64'

Mbappe ↑ ·

Pitarch ↓

64'

Alexander-Arnold ↑ ·

Carvajal ↓

74'

Camavinga ↑ ·

Diaz ↓

74'

Bellingham ↑ ·

Guler ↓

87'

Carreras ↑ ·

Junior ↓

Subs used · ATM

46'

M. Gimenez ↑ ·

Le Normand ↓

57'

Sorloth ↑ ·

Griezmann ↓

57'

Gonzalez ↑ ·

Cardoso ↓

57'

Molina ↑ ·

Lookman ↓

71'

Baena ↑ ·

Simeone ↓

📊 Statistics

REA 3 – 2 ATM

53%

Possession (%)

47%

2.42

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.00

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

91%

Pass Accuracy (%)

89%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

21 · 3 – 2

27'

▮

Johnny Cardoso

Yellow Card

33'

⚽

A. Lookman

Assist · G. Simeone · 0–1

36'

▮

Matteo Ruggeri

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 1

46'

⇄

J. M. Gimenez ↓ · R. Le Normand ↑

Substitution 1

Vinicius Junior (P)

Penalty · 1–1

⚽

52'

F. Valverde

2–1

⚽

55'

57'

⇄

A. Sorloth ↓ · A. Griezmann ↑

Substitution 2

57'

⇄

N. Gonzalez ↓ · J. Cardoso ↑

Substitution 3

57'

⇄

N. Molina ↓ · A. Lookman ↑

Substitution 4

61'

▮

Dávid Hancko

Yellow Card

Thiago Pitarch

Yellow Card

▮

63'

K. Mbappe ↓ · T. Pitarch ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

64'

T. Alexander-Arnold ↓ · D. Carvajal ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

64'

66'

⚽

N. Molina

Assist · J. Alvarez · 2–2

68'

▮

Marcos Llorente

Yellow Card

71'

⇄

A. Baena ↓ · G. Simeone ↑

Substitution 5

Vinicius Junior

Assist · T. Alexander-Arnold · 3–2

⚽

72'

E. Camavinga ↓ · B. Diaz ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

74'

J. Bellingham ↓ · A. Guler ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

74'

Federico Valverde

Red Card

▮

77'

A. Carreras ↓ · Vinicius Junior ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

87'

Full-time · 3 – 2

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.98	—	58%	Cashed	+0.98	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.55	—	41%	Cashed	+1.55	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.66	—	63%	Cashed	+0.66	Cashed
BTTS No	2.55	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.48	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.95	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.32	—	81%	Cashed	+0.32	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.57	—	61%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.58	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.48	—	58%	Cashed	+0.48	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.20	—	83%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.04	—	95%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	4.00	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.30	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.82	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	17.00	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.85	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.20u	−25% ROI