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Home › Spain › La Liga › Real Madrid — Atletico Madrid

Predictions by Market: Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W W
Kick-off
Sun 22 Mar · 20:00
3:2
Full-time
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
W L W W L Away · last 5
Santiago Bernabéu Stadium · Madrid Referee José Luis Munuera Montero, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · REA
58%
Best 1.84
Draw
23%
Best 4.10
Away Win · ATM
19%
Best 3.90
Value pick
Home Win
@ 1.98
Fair odds
1.73
book 1.98 · +14.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 58% · EV +14.4%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 57.8%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 23.3%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 19%
Odds 3.85
Show model details
Implied probability 26%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 41.4%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 63.1%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 36.9%
Odds 2.48
Show model details
Implied probability 40.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 83.4%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.4%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 16.6%
Odds 5.30
Show model details
Implied probability 18.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4.7%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 38.8%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 61.3%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 57.8%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 19%
Odds 2.82
Show model details
Implied probability 35.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 42.2%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 81%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Home Win
REA – ATM @ 1.98
+14.4%
Edge
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