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Home › Spain › La Liga › Sevilla — Valencia

Sevilla vs Valencia 0:2: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Sevilla
Sevilla
Home · last 5 W W W L L
Kick-off
Sat 21 Mar · 20:00
0:2
Full-time
Valencia
Valencia
L W D W W Away · last 5
Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán · Seville Referee Victor Garcia Verdura, Spain
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 51% · book 2.33 ✗
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 62% · book 1.64 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 56% · book 1.82 ✓
Total goals
2
0 · 2
xG (open play)
0.38 – 1.81
Δ −1.43
Possession
59% – 41%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.34 — +4.6% better than the market.

Sevilla holds a slight quality edge and benefits from a moderate home advantage at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán. Their defensive solidity contrasts with Valencia's struggles to break down compact blocks, suggesting a tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances. Recent form favors Valencia marginally, but Sevilla's home momentum and pressing edge could tilt the balance.

  • Sevilla's defensive resilience vs Valencia's moderate attack
  • Home crowd influence and tactical discipline
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X @ 1.34 ✗ Lost
AI 78% Implied 75% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

SEV 4-3-3 · VAL 4-3-3
SEV · 4-3-3 4-3-3 · VAL 1 Vlachodimos 3 Azpilicueta 6 Gudelj 4 Salas 12 Suazo 16 Sánchez 18 Agoumé 20 Sow 11 Vargas 17 Maupay 10 Sánchez 1 Dimitrievski 4 Núñez 5 Tárrega 24 Cömert 14 Gayà 8 Guerra 2 Rodríguez 10 Almeida 11 Rioja 9 Duro ⚽ 17 Ramazani ⚽
Subs used · SEV
37' Adams ↑ · Azpilicueta ↓
46' Mendy ↑ · Agoume ↓
46' Romero ↑ · Sanchez ↓
46' A. Carmona ↑ · Sanchez ↓
71' Oso ↑ · Vargas ↓
73' Castrin ↑ · Sow ↓
Subs used · VAL
26' Vazquez ↑ · Gaya ↓
66' Beltran ↑ · Ramazani ↓
67' Sadiq ↑ · Duro ↓
80' Lopez ↑ · Almeida ↓
89' Pepelu ↑ · Guerra ↓

Statistics

SEV 0 – 2 VAL
59%
Possession (%)
41%
0.38
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.81
13
Total Shots
9
2
Shots on Target
4
7
Shots off Target
1
7
Shots Inside Box
8
1
Corner Kicks
3
3
Offsides
0
13
Fouls
6
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
2
Yellow Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

16 · 0 – 2
26'
⇄
J. Vazquez ↓ · J. Gaya ↑
Substitution 1
Lucien Agoumé
Yellow Card
▮
28'
A. Adams ↓ · C. Azpilicueta ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
37'
38'
⚽
H. Duro
0–1
45'
⚽
L. Ramazani
Assist · L. Rioja · 0–2
Half-time · 0 – 2
B. Mendy ↓ · L. Agoume ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
46'
I. Romero ↓ · A. Sanchez ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
46'
J. A. Carmona ↓ · J. Sanchez ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
46'
66'
⇄
L. Beltran ↓ · L. Ramazani ↑
Substitution 2
67'
⇄
U. Sadiq ↓ · H. Duro ↑
Substitution 3
Oso ↓ · R. Vargas ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
71'
Castrin ↓ · D. Sow ↑
Substitution 6
⇄
73'
74'
▮
Lucas Beltrán
Yellow Card
80'
⇄
D. Lopez ↓ · A. Almeida ↑
Substitution 4
89'
⇄
Pepelu ↓ · J. Guerra ↑
Substitution 5
Neal Maupay
Yellow Card
▮
90+5'
Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

Valencia won 2–0 away at Sevilla. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 59% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 84% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.81 to 0.38. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 13 shots to 9, 2 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: H. Duro (38'), L. Ramazani (45').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.00 units (Brier 0.217).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.33 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.64 — 62% Cashed +0.64 Cashed
BTTS No 1.82 — 56% Cashed +0.82 Cashed
Over 2.5 2.46 — 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 2.05 — 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.68 — 49% Cashed +0.68 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.60 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.46 — 22% Cashed +1.46 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.34 — 78% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 2.90 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.47 — 64% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.22 — 82% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
Under 0.5 8.00 — 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.11 — 88% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Draw 3.30 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.75 — 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.60 — 22% Cashed +2.60 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.00u −12% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
SEV – VAL @ 1.34
+4.6%
Edge
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