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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › England › Premier League › Liverpool — Aston Villa

Match Liverpool vs Aston Villa November 1, 2025

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Liverpool
Liverpool
Home · last 5 W L D L D
Kick-off
Sat 01 Nov · 20:00
2:0
Full-time
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
L L D W W Away · last 5
Anfield · Liverpool Referee Stuart Attwell, England
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 67% · book 1.67 ✓
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 65% · book 1.66 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 49% · book 2.38 ✓
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
1.09 – 0.31
Δ +0.78
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.67 — +11.8% better than the market.

Liverpool hosts Aston Villa at Anfield, holding a clear quality edge and home momentum despite recent struggles. Liverpool's attacking threat faces a resilient Villa defense, but their defensive vulnerabilities could be exploited by Villa's pressing edge. Villa's recent form shows signs of revival, yet Liverpool's home advantage and sharper offensive play suggest a controlled match with moderate goal potential.

  • Liverpool's home edge and offensive firepower
  • Villa's defensive solidity but limited attack
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring a tactical battle

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.67 ✓ Cashed
AI 67% Implied 60% +0.67u
+67%
ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

LIV 4-2-3-1 · AST 4-2-3-1
LIV · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · AST 25 Mamardashvili 12 Bradley 5 Konaté 4 Dijk 26 Robertson 38 Gravenberch ⚽ 10 Allister 11 Salah ⚽ 8 Szoboszlai 18 Gakpo 22 Ekitiké 23 Martínez 2 Cash 4 Konsa 14 Torres 12 Digne 44 Kamara 24 Onana 29 Guessand 27 Rogers 7 McGinn 11 Watkins
Subs used · LIV
77' Wirtz ↑ · Ekitike ↓
Subs used · AST
59' Barkley ↑ · McGinn ↓
59' Malen ↑ · Guessand ↓
74' Mings ↑ · Torres ↓
74' Sancho ↑ · Watkins ↓
75' Maatsen ↑ · Digne ↓

📊 Statistics

LIV 2 – 0 AST
54%
Possession (%)
46%
1.09
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.31
16
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
3
7
Shots off Target
6
7
Shots Inside Box
4
1
Corner Kicks
4
8
Offsides
0
13
Fouls
11
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
2
Yellow Cards
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

⏱ Match events

13 · 2 – 0
M. Salah
1–0
⚽
45'
Half-time · 1 – 0
Virgil van Dijk
Yellow Card
▮
54'
57'
▮
Matty Cash
Yellow Card
R. Gravenberch
Assist · A. Mac Allister · 2–0
⚽
58'
59'
⇄
R. Barkley ↓ · J. McGinn ↑
Substitution 1
59'
⇄
D. Malen ↓ · E. Guessand ↑
Substitution 2
73'
▮
Amadou Onana
Yellow Card
74'
⇄
T. Mings ↓ · P. Torres ↑
Substitution 3
74'
⇄
J. Sancho ↓ · O. Watkins ↑
Substitution 4
75'
⇄
I. Maatsen ↓ · L. Digne ↑
Substitution 5
F. Wirtz ↓ · H. Ekitike ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
77'
80'
▮
Morgan Rogers
Yellow Card
Dominik Szoboszlai
Yellow Card
▮
87'
Full-time · 2 – 0

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.67 — 67% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Home Win 1.66 — 65% Cashed +0.66 Cashed
BTTS No 2.38 — 49% Cashed +1.38 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.50 — 46% Cashed +1.50 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.40 — 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.64 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.41 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.50 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.21 — 86% Cashed +0.21 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.57 — 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.27 — 65% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Under 0.5 19.00 — 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 — 94% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Draw 4.55 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.18 — 77% Cashed +0.18 Cashed
Away Win 5.20 — 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 4.02 — 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −4.10u −24% ROI
Best bet of the night · Under 3.5
LIV – AST @ 1.67
+11.8%
Edge
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