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Home › England › Premier League › Liverpool — Aston Villa

Predictions by Market: Liverpool vs Aston Villa

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Liverpool
Liverpool
Home · last 5 W L D L D
Kick-off
Sat 01 Nov · 20:00
2:0
Full-time
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
L L D W W Away · last 5
Anfield · Liverpool Referee Stuart Attwell, England

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LIV
65%
Best 1.66
Draw
21%
Best 4.40
Away Win · AST
14%
Best 4.83
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.50
Fair odds
2.18
book 2.50 · +14.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 46% · EV +14.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (54%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 64.9%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 21.1%
Odds 4.55
Show model details
Implied probability 22%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 14.1%
Odds 5.20
Show model details
Implied probability 19.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 67%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 46%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 33%
Odds 2.41
Show model details
Implied probability 41.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 22.8%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 54%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.4%
Odds 19.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.7%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48.7%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.3%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 64.9%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 14.1%
Odds 4.02
Show model details
Implied probability 24.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 35.1%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 86%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
LIV – AST @ 2.50
+14.9%
Edge
Forecast →