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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Spain La Liga Real Madrid — Elche

Match Real Madrid vs Elche March 14, 2026

Spain   /   La Liga
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W W
Kick-off
Sat 14 Mar · 20:00
4:1
Full-time
Elche
Elche
L D L W D Away · last 5
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu · Madrid Referee Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 54% · book 1.85
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 46% · book 2.15
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 52% · book 1.88
Total goals
5
4 · 1
xG (open play)
1.25 – 0.79
Δ +0.46
Possession
47% – 53%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Real Madrid arrives with strong home momentum, boasting a potent attack that outmatches Elche's defense. Their recent form shows consistent wins, while Elche struggles for points and goals. The home side's pressing edge and tactical discipline should dominate, especially given the wide quality gap and home comfort at Santiago Bernabéu. Expect a controlled pace with Real Madrid dictating play and creating multiple chances.

  • Home attacking threat vs away defensive frailty
  • Superior recent form and confidence
  • Home tactical control and pressing intensity

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

REA 4-4-2 · ELC 5-3-2
Subs used · REA
58' Guler ↑ · Junior
58' Garcia ↑ · Valverde
58' Yanez ↑ · Tchouameni
61' Aguado ↑ · Rudiger
63' A. Moran ↑ · Diaz
64' Palacios ↑ · Pitarch
Subs used · ELC
23' Pedrosa ↑ · Sangare
64' Josan ↑ · Petrot
64' Mir ↑ · Cepeda
64' Aguado ↑ · Redondo Solari
74' Diangana ↑ · Neto
74' Bigas ↑ · Affengruber

📊 Statistics

REA 41 ELC
47%
Possession (%)
53%
1.25
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.79
14
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
1
5
Shots off Target
6
5
Shots Inside Box
7
5
Corner Kicks
4
3
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
21
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
1
Yellow Cards
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

21 · 4 – 1
23'
A. Pedrosa ↓ · Buba Sangare ↑
Substitution 1
A. Rudiger
1–0
39'
F. Valverde
Assist · F. Garcia · 2–0
44'
Half-time · 2 – 0
Eduardo Camavinga
Yellow Card
55'
A. Guler ↓ · Vinicius Junior ↑
Substitution 1
58'
G. Garcia ↓ · F. Valverde ↑
Substitution 2
58'
D. Yanez ↓ · A. Tchouameni ↑
Substitution 3
58'
D. Aguado ↓ · A. Rudiger ↑
Substitution 4
61'
62'
Germán Valera
Yellow Card
M. A. Moran ↓ · B. Diaz ↑
Substitution 5
63'
C. Palacios ↓ · T. Pitarch ↑
Substitution 6
64'
64'
Josan ↓ · L. Petrot ↑
Substitution 2
64'
R. Mir ↓ · L. Cepeda ↑
Substitution 3
64'
M. Aguado ↓ · F. Redondo Solari ↑
Substitution 4
66'
David Affengruber
Yellow Card
D. Huijsen
Assist · D. Yanez · 3–0
66'
74'
G. Diangana ↓ · M. Neto ↑
Substitution 5
74'
P. Bigas ↓ · D. Affengruber ↑
Substitution 6
85'
M. A. Moran
Own goal · 3–1
88'
Rafa Mir
Yellow Card
A. Guler
4–1
89'
Full-time · 4 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.85 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.15 46% Cashed +1.15 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.88 52% Cashed +0.88 Cashed
BTTS No 1.96 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 7.36 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.27 79% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.06 94% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Under 2.5 3.00 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.45 67% Cashed +0.45 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.05 79% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Double Chance X2 4.71 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.03 96% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.14 85% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Under 1.5 6.00 15% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 24.00 4% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 12.00 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 6.45 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −5.97u −35% ROI