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Home › Spain › La Liga › Real Madrid — Elche

Predictions by Market: Real Madrid vs Elche

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Home · last 5 W L W W W
Kick-off
Sat 14 Mar · 20:00
4:1
Full-time
Elche
Elche
L D L W D Away · last 5
Santiago Bernabéu Stadium · Madrid Referee Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · REA
79%
Best 1.30
Draw
15%
Best 5.98
Away Win · ELC
6%
Best 9.50
Value pick
Draw
@ 7.36
Fair odds
6.66
book 7.36 · +10.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 15% · EV +10.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (79%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 15%
Odds 7.36
Show model details
Implied probability 13.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 78.9%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 6.1%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 54.4%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 45.6%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 32.9%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96.3%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 84.7%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 15.3%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 3.7%
Odds 24.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.5%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48.5%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 78.9%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 6.1%
Odds 6.45
Show model details
Implied probability 15.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 93.9%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 21.2%
Odds 4.71
Show model details
Implied probability 21.2%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
REA – ELC @ 7.36
+10.5%
Edge
Forecast →