Match Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid November 9, 2025

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.68 — +12.0% better than the market.

Real Madrid enter this clash with a clear quality edge and a potent attack that challenges Rayo's defense. Despite Rayo's slightly better recent form, the home side faces a tough task containing Madrid's offensive threat. The match hints at a lively pace, with both teams likely to push forward, but Madrid's pressing edge and superior firepower could tilt the balance.

Madrid's offensive prowess vs Rayo's defense
Home momentum from Rayo's recent wins
High goal potential suggested by odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 1.68 ✗ Lost

AI 67% Implied 60% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

RAY 4-2-3-1 · REA 4-2-3-1

RAY · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · REA

7 Palazón

Subs used · RAY

27'

Pacha ↑ ·

Diaz ↓

71'

Perez ↑ ·

Palazon ↓

71'

Valentin ↑ ·

de Frutos ↓

83'

Gumbau ↑ ·

Lopez ↓

83'

Alemao ↑ ·

Garcia ↓

Subs used · REA

46'

Militao ↑ ·

Huijsen ↓

71'

Ceballos ↑ ·

Diaz ↓

79'

Rodrygo ↑ ·

Camavinga ↓

83'

Alexander-Arnold ↑ ·

Valverde ↓

📊 Statistics

RAY 0 – 0 REA

46%

Possession (%)

54%

1.19

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.82

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

84%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

14 · 0 – 0

Andrei Rațiu

Yellow Card

▮

15'

Pacha ↓ · P. Diaz ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

27'

Álvaro García

Yellow Card

▮

33'

36'

▮

Dean Huijsen

Yellow Card

44'

▮

Brahim Díaz

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

46'

⇄

Eder Militao ↓ · D. Huijsen ↑

Substitution 1

Jorge de Frutos

Yellow Card

▮

45+3'

F. Perez ↓ · I. Palazon ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

71'

O. Valentin ↓ · J. de Frutos ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

71'

⇄

D. Ceballos ↓ · B. Diaz ↑

Substitution 2

79'

⇄

Rodrygo ↓ · E. Camavinga ↑

Substitution 3

G. Gumbau ↓ · U. Lopez ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

83'

Alemao ↓ · A. Garcia ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

83'

⇄

T. Alexander-Arnold ↓ · F. Valverde ↑

Substitution 4

Full-time · 0 – 0

Match recap

Rayo Vallecano and Real Madrid drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 13, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 5. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +21.62 units (Brier 0.439).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.68	—	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.50	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.76	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	2.75	—	31%	Cashed	+1.75	Cashed
BTTS No	2.13	—	40%	Cashed	+1.13	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.42	—	33%	Cashed	+1.42	Cashed
Away Win	1.54	—	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.15	—	89%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.57	—	54%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.21	—	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.20	—	85%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	96%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	5.00	—	20%	Cashed	+4.00	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.10	—	15%	Cashed	+4.10	Cashed
Home Win	6.50	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	18.50	—	4%	Cashed	+17.50	Cashed
AH Home 0	4.80	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+21.62u	+127% ROI

Match Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid November 9, 2025 — Result and Stats

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.68 — +12.0% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled