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Home › Spain › La Liga › Real Betis — Mallorca

Real Betis vs Mallorca 3:0: Match Review & Stats

Spain   /   La Liga Value pick inside
Real Betis
Real Betis
Home · last 5 W D W L W
Kick-off
Sun 02 Nov · 20:00
3:0
Full-time
Mallorca
Mallorca
W D L L W Away · last 5
Referee Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 65% · book 1.65 ✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 53% · book 2.00 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 52% · book 1.95 ✓
Total goals
3
3 · 0
xG (open play)
2.70 – 0.62
Δ +2.08
Possession
53% – 47%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 1.65 — +7.6% better than the market.

Real Betis holds a clear quality edge over Mallorca, supported by stronger home form and a more potent attack facing a less resilient defense. Their recent momentum with wins and draws contrasts with Mallorca's inconsistent results, suggesting Betis can control the game tempo. The match may lean towards a compact defensive setup from Mallorca, aiming to frustrate Betis' pressing and limit chances.

  • Betis' home advantage and attacking edge
  • Mallorca's defensive challenge and away struggles
  • Moderate pace expected with balanced goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 1.65 ✓ Cashed
AI 65% Implied 61% +0.65u
+65%
ROI on stake

Lineups

BET 4-2-3-1 · MAL 4-2-3-1
Subs used · BET
46' Gomez ↑ · Rodriguez ↓
69' Roca ↑ · Fornals ↓
69' Ruibal ↑ · Ezzalzouli ↓
77' Deossa ↑ · Lo Celso ↓
83' Garcia ↑ · Antony ↓
Subs used · MAL
64' Mascarell ↑ · Morlanes ↓
64' Torre ↑ · Darder ↓
64' Asano ↑ · Joseph ↓
79' Llabres ↑ · Virgili ↓
79' Prats ↑ · Muriqi ↓

Statistics

BET 3 – 0 MAL
53%
Possession (%)
47%
2.70
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.62
15
Total Shots
14
8
Shots on Target
1
4
Shots off Target
10
9
Shots Inside Box
6
4
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
4
9
Fouls
8
88%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
0
Yellow Cards
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

16 · 3 – 0
Antony
Assist · Cucho Hernandez · 1–0
⚽
10'
21'
▮
Samú Costa
Yellow Card
Antony
Assist · H. Bellerin · 2–0
⚽
34'
A. Ezzalzouli
Assist · Antony · 3–0
⚽
37'
Half-time · 3 – 0
V. Gomez ↓ · R. Rodriguez ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
64'
⇄
O. Mascarell ↓ · M. Morlanes ↑
Substitution 1
64'
⇄
P. Torre ↓ · S. Darder ↑
Substitution 2
64'
⇄
T. Asano ↓ · M. Joseph ↑
Substitution 3
M. Roca ↓ · P. Fornals ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
69'
A. Ruibal ↓ · A. Ezzalzouli ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
69'
N. Deossa ↓ · G. Lo Celso ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
77'
79'
⇄
J. Llabres ↓ · J. Virgili ↑
Substitution 4
79'
⇄
A. Prats ↓ · V. Muriqi ↑
Substitution 5
P. Garcia ↓ · Antony ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
83'
86'
▮
Pablo Maffeo
Yellow Card
90+2'
▮
Johan Mojica
Yellow Card
Full-time · 3 – 0

Match recap

Real Betis beat Mallorca 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 3–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.70 to 0.62. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: Antony (10'), Antony (34'), A. Ezzalzouli (37').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.32 units (Brier 0.105).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.65 — 65% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.00 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.95 — 52% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.96 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.94 — 47% Cashed +0.94 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.43 — 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.86 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.17 — 88% Cashed +0.17 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.24 — 65% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Under 0.5 12.90 — 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.38 — 74% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.06 — 92% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Draw 4.22 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.29 — 72% Cashed +0.29 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.30 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.87 — 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 4.40 — 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −5.32u −31% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
BET – MAL @ 1.65
+7.6%
Edge
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