Match Fulham vs Arsenal October 18, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Preview & Verdict

In the upcoming clash between Fulham and Arsenal, the Gunners are positioned as favorites with a 66.75% estimated probability of winning, reflected in their 1.6 odds. Fulham faces a challenging task at home, with only an 11.74% chance of victory. The match is expected to be competitive, with both teams likely to score, as indicated by the 49.78% probability for BTTS Yes. Arsenal's attacking profile and form trend suggest they could edge out a win, but Fulham's defensive shape might keep the game tight.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

FUL 4-2-3-1 · ARS 4-3-3

FUL · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · ARS

7 Jiménez

Subs used · FUL

42'

Diop ↑ ·

Andersen ↓

63'

Kevin ↑ ·

King ↓

64'

Smith Rowe ↑ ·

Cairney ↓

82'

Bassey ↑ ·

Cuenca ↓

82'

Traore ↑ ·

Wilson ↓

Subs used · ARS

62'

Merino ↑ ·

Eze ↓

81'

Martinelli ↑ ·

Trossard ↓

90+6'

Norgaard ↑ ·

Gyökeres ↓

📊 Statistics

FUL 0 – 1 ARS

37%

Possession (%)

63%

0.44

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.88

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

79%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

9 · 0 – 1

I. Diop ↓ · J. Andersen ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

42'

Half-time · 0 – 0

58'

⚽

L. Trossard

Assist · Gabriel · 0–1

62'

⇄

M. Merino ↓ · E. Eze ↑

Substitution 1

Kevin ↓ · J. King ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

63'

E. Smith Rowe ↓ · T. Cairney ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

64'

81'

⇄

G. Martinelli ↓ · L. Trossard ↑

Substitution 2

C. Bassey ↓ · J. Cuenca ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

82'

A. Traore ↓ · H. Wilson ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

82'

90+6'

⇄

C. Norgaard ↓ · V. Gyökeres ↑

Substitution 3

Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Arsenal won 1–0 away at Fulham. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 63% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.88 to 0.44. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 9, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 10 to 6. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves.

On the scoresheet: L. Trossard (58').

Model audit for this match: of 13 graded markets, 7 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.78 units (Brier 0.155).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

13 · 7 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Away Win	1.60	—	67%	Cashed	+0.60	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.16	—	88%	Cashed	+0.16	Cashed
BTTS Yes	2.02	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.96	—	51%	Cashed	+0.96	Cashed
Draw	4.45	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	94%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Home Win	6.25	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.87	—	50%	Cashed	+0.87	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.31	—	75%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.00	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.35	—	72%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.58	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.22	—	67%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Total · 13 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 6 L	−2.78u	−21% ROI