Match Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig May 2, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Bayer Leverkusen hosts RB Leipzig in a Bundesliga clash where both sides show similar overall quality, but Leipzig's slight edge in attack versus Leverkusen's defense hints at a lively contest. Leverkusen enjoys a mild home advantage with a compact defensive block, while Leipzig's relentless recent form suggests strong momentum.

Leverkusen's solid defensive shape may counter Leipzig's pressing edge.
Leipzig's unbeaten streak signals confidence and attacking threat.
Expect a balanced tempo with chances for both sides in this tight matchup.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

BAY 3-4-2-1 · LEI 4-3-3

BAY · 3-4-2-1 4-3-3 · LEI

14 Schick ⚽

Subs used · BAY

77'

Poku ↑ ·

Tella ↓

77'

Arthur ↑ ·

Culbreath ↓

85'

Fernandez ↑ ·

Garcia ↓

85'

Tillman ↑ ·

Maza ↓

90+3'

Kofane ↑ ·

Schick ↓

Subs used · LEI

46'

Gruda ↑ ·

Nusa ↓

46'

Lukeba ↑ ·

Bitshiabu ↓

65'

Ouedraogo ↑ ·

Seiwald ↓

65'

Harder ↑ ·

Cardoso ↓

84'

Henrichs ↑ ·

Finkgrafe ↓

📊 Statistics

BAY 4 – 1 LEI

55%

Possession (%)

45%

4.38

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.14

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

89%

Pass Accuracy (%)

86%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

19 · 4 – 1

14'

▮

M. Finkgrafe

Yellow Card

P. Schick

Assist · N. Tella · 1–0

⚽

25'

N. Tella

Assist · A. Garcia · 2–0

⚽

45'

Half-time · 2 – 0

46'

⇄

B. Gruda ↓ · A. Nusa ↑

Substitution 1

46'

⇄

C. Lukeba ↓ · E. Bitshiabu ↑

Substitution 2

65'

⇄

A. Ouedraogo ↓ · N. Seiwald ↑

Substitution 3

65'

⇄

C. Harder ↓ · Romulo Cardoso ↑

Substitution 4

72'

▮

X. Schlager

Yellow Card

P. Schick

Assist · I. Maza · 3–0

⚽

76'

E. Poku ↓ · N. Tella ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

77'

Arthur ↓ · M. Culbreath ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

77'

80'

⚽

C. Baumgartner

Assist · B. Gruda · 3–1

84'

⇄

B. Henrichs ↓ · M. Finkgrafe ↑

Substitution 5

84'

▮

C. Baumgartner

Yellow Card

E. Fernandez ↓ · A. Garcia ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

85'

M. Tillman ↓ · I. Maza ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

85'

M. Tillman

Yellow Card

▮

86'

P. Schick

Assist · A. Grimaldo · 4–1

⚽

89'

C. Kofane ↓ · P. Schick ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90+3'

Full-time · 4 – 1

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

15 · 7 W · 8 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	1.98	1.91	51%	Cashed	+0.98	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.78	1.69	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.96	1.91	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.15	2.20	45%	Cashed	+1.15	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.43	2.28	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.66	1.66	45%	Cashed	+0.66	Cashed
Away Win	3.18	2.95	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.40	1.40	67%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
BTTS No	3.10	3.17	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	3.20	3.19	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.11	1.08	87%	Cashed	+0.11	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.36	1.34	71%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.36	1.34	70%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Draw	4.22	3.95	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	6.60	6.99	13%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 15 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	7 W · 8 L	−3.98u	−27% ROI