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Home › World › UEFA Europa League › Lech Poznan — Bayer Leverkusen

Prediction: Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen, October 15

Lech Poznan
Lech Poznan
Home · last 5 W W W D L
Kick-off
Thu 15 Oct · 16:45
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
W Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LEC
21%
Best 4.71
Draw
22%
Best 4.46
Away Win · BAY
58%
Best 1.68
Probability based on bookmaker odds
AI preview · 90 sec read

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Lech Poznan
W/D/L 3-0-2
Goals (for / against) 11 / 8
Avg goals / match 3.8
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-2
xG (for / against) 2.06 / 0.76
Bayer Leverkusen
W/D/L 4-1-0
Goals (for / against) 14 / 5
Avg goals / match 3.8
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 3/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 3-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-0
xG (for / against) 1.76 / 1.63

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2.33
Goals Scored
2.80
0.89
Goals Conceded
1.60
1.15
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
5.67
Shots on Target
6.40
6.33
Corners
8
48.67
Possession (%)
59.60
110.28
Efficiency index
102.33
138.44
Adjusted index
138.73
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
94
OFF · home
63
100
DEF · home
67
92
OFF · away
—
49
DEF · away
—
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
Lech Poznan wins when scoring first
—
①
Bayer Leverkusen wins when scoring first
63%
⚽
Lech Poznan BTTS rate · last 10
60%
⚽
Bayer Leverkusen BTTS rate · last 10
70%
↑
Lech Poznan Over 2.5 · last 10
90%
↑
Bayer Leverkusen Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↩
Lech Poznan comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Bayer Leverkusen comeback rate · last 10
0%

Goal timing

Lech Poznan · last 9 at home

0–15 6%
16–30 17%
31–45 34%
46–60 17%
61–75 6%
76–90 22%

Bayer Leverkusen · last 10 away

0–15 16%
16–30 11%
31–45 26%
46–60 16%
61–75 11%
76–90 21%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.

Top scorers

F. Medina
BAY · Defender
1 G · 1.00 g/90