P
Prognosist
P
Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Bayer Leverkusen — RB Leipzig

Predictions by Market: Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Home · last 5 L W W L D
Kick-off
Sat 02 May · 16:30
4:1
Full-time
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
W W L W L Away · last 5
BayArena · Bayer Leverkusen Referee Tobias Welz, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BAY
45%
Best 2.23
Draw
22%
Best 4.11
Away Win · LEI
33%
Best 3.08
Value pick
Away Win
@ 3.18
Fair odds
3.02
book 3.18 · +5.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 33% · EV +5.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (45%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 44.6%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 33.1%
Odds 3.18
Show model details
Implied probability 31.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 22.3%
Odds 4.22
Show model details
Implied probability 23.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 50.9%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 49.1%
Odds 1.96
Show model details
Implied probability 51%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 29.2%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 87.3%
Odds 1.11
Show model details
Implied probability 90.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 70.8%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 12.7%
Odds 6.60
Show model details
Implied probability 15.2%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 30.4%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 69.6%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 33.1%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 44.6%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 55.4%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 66.9%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
BAY – LEI @ 3.18
+5.2%
Edge
Forecast →