SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin 0:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 4.10 — +11.9% better than the market.

SC Freiburg holds a clear quality edge and home momentum against Union Berlin, who struggle to match their offensive output. Freiburg's solid defensive shape combined with a pressing edge at home should limit Union's chances. The recent form favors Freiburg slightly, suggesting a controlled tempo with moderate goal opportunities.

Home side's stronger attack vs away defense
Compact block and pressing advantage for Freiburg
Modest pace expected, leaning to under 2.5 goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5

Over 3.5 @ 4.10 ✗ Lost

AI 27% Implied 24% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

FRE 4-2-3-1 · UNI 4-3-2-1

FRE · 4-2-3-1 4-3-2-1 · UNI

31 Matanović

Subs used · FRE

61'

Suzuki ↑ ·

Holer ↓

77'

Grifo ↑ ·

Scherhant ↓

77'

Beste ↑ ·

Irie ↓

86'

Gunter ↑ ·

Makengo ↓

Subs used · UNI

64'

Kral ↑ ·

Ansah ↓

64'

Woo-Yeong ↑ ·

Skarke ↓

80'

Juranovic ↑ ·

Trimmel ↓

80'

Kemlein ↑ ·

Haberer ↓

87'

Rothe ↑ ·

Burcu ↓

Statistics

FRE 0 – 1 UNI

73%

Possession (%)

27%

1.11

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.54

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

88%

Pass Accuracy (%)

66%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match events

12 · 0 – 1

-5'

▮

Livan Burcu

Yellow Card

17'

▮

Derrick Köhn

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

Y. Suzuki ↓ · L. Holer ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

61'

64'

⇄

A. Kral ↓ · I. Ansah ↑

Substitution 1

64'

⇄

Jeong Woo-Yeong ↓ · T. Skarke ↑

Substitution 2

V. Grifo ↓ · D. Scherhant ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

77'

J. Beste ↓ · C. Irie ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

77'

80'

⇄

J. Juranovic ↓ · C. Trimmel ↑

Substitution 3

80'

⇄

A. Kemlein ↓ · J. Haberer ↑

Substitution 4

C. Gunter ↓ · J. Makengo ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

86'

87'

⇄

T. Rothe ↓ · L. Burcu ↑

Substitution 5

90'

⚽

Jeong Woo-Yeong

Assist · S. Nsoki · 0–1

Full-time · 0 – 1

Match recap

Union Berlin won 1–0 away at SC Freiburg. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 73% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.11 to 0.54. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 9, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.

On the scoresheet: Jeong Woo-Yeong (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.35 units (Brier 0.300).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.20	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	2.22	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.91	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.92	—	48%	Cashed	+0.92	Cashed
Under 2.5	1.77	—	51%	Cashed	+0.77	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.75	—	47%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
AH Away 0	2.60	—	20%	Cashed	+1.60	Cashed
Over 3.5	4.10	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.32	—	80%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.40	—	73%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	3.20	—	27%	Cashed	+2.20	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.53	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.09	—	91%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.28	—	73%	Cashed	+0.28	Cashed
Draw	3.40	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	9.00	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.74	—	20%	Cashed	+2.74	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+0.35u	+2% ROI

SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin 0:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

⏱ Match events

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Match events

Bet recap · markets settled