Model verdict
Model leans toward Borussia Dortmund to win — 63% probability.
Also rated highly: both teams to score 57%, Over 2.5 goals 56%.
Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.
AI preview · 90 sec read
Most likely outcomes
What the model rates as most likely in each market.
| Market | Prob. % | Pred. |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 63% | Borussia Dortmund win |
| Over/Under 2.5 | 56% | Over 2.5 |
| BTTS | 57% | Yes |
| Double Chance | 85% | X2 |
- 1X2 Borussia Dortmund win 63%
- Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56%
- BTTS Yes 57%
- Double Chance X2 85%
Odds movement · 1X2
72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Recent form
Last 5 matches · all competitions
Union Berlin
W/D/L
1-1-3
Goals (for / against)
5 / 17
Avg goals / match
4.4
Scored in
3/5
Clean sheets
1/5
Both teams scored
2/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Away (W-D-L)
0-0-2
xG (for / against)
1.76 / 0.83
Borussia Dortmund
W/D/L
4-1-0
Goals (for / against)
12 / 6
Avg goals / match
3.6
Scored in
5/5
Clean sheets
2/5
Both teams scored
3/5
Over 2.5
4/5
Home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Away (W-D-L)
2-0-0
xG (for / against)
2.50 / 1.19
Head-to-Head Performance
last 10 H2H · per matchEff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.
Team strength
0–100 rating vs league · season-to-dateEach axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.
Scenario insights
①
Union Berlin wins when scoring first
75%
①
Borussia Dortmund wins when scoring first
83%
⚽
Union Berlin BTTS rate · last 10
60%
⚽
Borussia Dortmund BTTS rate · last 10
40%
↑
Union Berlin Over 2.5 · last 10
90%
↑
Borussia Dortmund Over 2.5 · last 10
60%
↩
Union Berlin comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
Borussia Dortmund comeback rate · last 10
100%
Goal timing
Union Berlin · last 10 at home
0–15
13%
16–30
13%
31–45
6%
46–60
13%
61–75
6%
76–90
50%
Borussia Dortmund · last 10 away
0–15
6%
16–30
6%
31–45
6%
46–60
19%
61–75
19%
76–90
44%
Late-game scoring — most goals come after the 60th.
