P
Prognosist
P
Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Union Berlin — Borussia Dortmund

Predictions by Market: Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
Home · last 5 D L L L W
Kick-off
Sat 17 Oct · 13:30
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
W W W W D Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · UNI
15%
Best 4.75
Draw
22%
Best 4.45
Away Win · DOR
63%
Best 1.73
Value pick
Under 0.5
@ 17.00
Fair odds
15.11
book 17.00 · +12.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 7% · EV +12.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 0.5 is more likely (93%), but Under 0.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 63%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 22.1%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 15%
Odds 4.66
Show model details
Implied probability 21.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 66%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 44.5%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 34%
Odds 2.26
Show model details
Implied probability 44.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 22.5%
Odds 5.40
Show model details
Implied probability 18.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.6%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.4%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 77.5%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 42.7%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 57.3%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 63%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 79.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 15%
Odds 3.55
Show model details
Implied probability 28.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 37%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 85%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 0.5
UNI – DOR @ 17.00
+12.6%
Edge
Forecast →