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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Bayer Leverkusen — SC Freiburg

Prediction: Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg, October 18

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Home · last 5 L W D W W
Kick-off
Sun 18 Oct · 13:30
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
W W W D W Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BAY
49%
Best 1.75
Draw
22%
Best 4.42
Away Win · FRE
30%
Best 4.62

Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams to score — 60% probability.

Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 59%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 49% Bayer Leverkusen win
Over/Under 2.5 59% Over 2.5
BTTS 60% Yes
Double Chance 70% 1X
  • 1X2 Bayer Leverkusen win 49%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59%
  • BTTS Yes 60%
  • Double Chance 1X 70%
Open betting analysis

Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Bayer Leverkusen
W/D/L 4-1-0
Goals (for / against) 14 / 5
Avg goals / match 3.8
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 3/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 3-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-0
xG (for / against) 1.82 / 1.91
SC Freiburg
W/D/L 4-1-0
Goals (for / against) 14 / 4
Avg goals / match 3.6
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 3-0-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-0
xG (for / against) 1.58 / 0.43

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
2.80
Goals Scored
2.80
1.60
Goals Conceded
0.80
0.73
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63
6.40
Shots on Target
6
8
Corners
5.60
59.60
Possession (%)
53
102.33
Efficiency index
110.01
138.73
Adjusted index
158.96
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
72
OFF · home
67
100
DEF · home
89
67
OFF · away
56
56
DEF · away
100
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
Bayer Leverkusen wins when scoring first
63%
①
SC Freiburg wins when scoring first
100%
⚽
Bayer Leverkusen BTTS rate · last 10
70%
⚽
SC Freiburg BTTS rate · last 10
70%
↑
Bayer Leverkusen Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↑
SC Freiburg Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
↩
Bayer Leverkusen comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
SC Freiburg comeback rate · last 10
0%

Goal timing

Bayer Leverkusen · last 10 at home

0–15 19%
16–30 15%
31–45 15%
46–60 15%
61–75 12%
76–90 23%

SC Freiburg · last 10 away

0–15 0%
16–30 20%
31–45 10%
46–60 30%
61–75 20%
76–90 20%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.

Top scorers

P. Schick
BAY · Attacker
5 G · 1.31 g/90
Christian Kofane
BAY · Attacker
2 G · 1.34 g/90
Y. Suzuki
FRE · Midfielder
4 G · 1.11 g/90
I. Matanović
FRE · Attacker
3 G · 0.83 g/90