P
Prognosist
P
Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Bayer Leverkusen — SC Freiburg

Predictions by Market: Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Home · last 5 L W D W W
Kick-off
Sun 18 Oct · 13:30
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
W W W D W Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BAY
49%
Best 1.75
Draw
22%
Best 4.42
Away Win · FRE
30%
Best 4.62
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.15
Fair odds
1.96
book 2.15 · +10.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 51% · EV +10.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (70%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 48.9%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 29.7%
Odds 4.37
Show model details
Implied probability 22.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 21.5%
Odds 4.27
Show model details
Implied probability 23.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 63.1%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 41.3%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 36.9%
Odds 2.24
Show model details
Implied probability 44.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 20.1%
Odds 5.38
Show model details
Implied probability 18.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 58.7%
Odds 1.43
Show model details
Implied probability 69.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.6%
Odds 18.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.4%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 79.9%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 60%
Odds 1.49
Show model details
Implied probability 67.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 29.7%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 48.9%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 51.2%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
BAY – FRE @ 2.15
+10.0%
Edge
Forecast →