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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › SC Freiburg — Union Berlin

Predictions by Market: SC Freiburg vs Union Berlin

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
Home · last 5 W L D L W
Kick-off
Sun 15 Mar · 16:30
0:1
Full-time
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
L L D W W Away · last 5
Europa-Park-Stadion · Freiburg Referee Sven Jablonski, Germany

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · FRE
53%
Best 2.20
Draw
27%
Best 3.25
Away Win · UNI
20%
Best 3.48
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 4.10
Fair odds
3.66
book 4.10 · +11.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 27% · EV +11.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (73%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 53.4%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 26.8%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 19.8%
Odds 3.74
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 48.8%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 51.2%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 27.3%
Odds 4.10
Show model details
Implied probability 24.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 73.2%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 26.8%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.4%
Odds 1.09
Show model details
Implied probability 91.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 72.7%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8.6%
Odds 9.00
Show model details
Implied probability 11.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.5%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48.5%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 19.8%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 53.4%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 46.6%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 80.2%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
FRE – UNI @ 4.10
+11.9%
Edge
Forecast →