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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Hamburger SV — RB Leipzig

Match Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig March 1, 2026

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
Home · last 5 L L W W D
Kick-off
Sun 01 Mar · 18:30
1:2
Full-time
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
W W L W L Away · last 5
Volksparkstadion · Hamburg Referee Bastian Dankert, Germany
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 53% · book 2.22 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 41% · book 2.67 ✗
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 64% · book 1.65 ✓
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
0.55 – 3.09
Δ −2.54
Possession
42% – 58%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

RB Leipzig holds a clear quality edge and a pressing advantage despite playing away at Volksparkstadion. Their superior offensive firepower meets a home defense that has struggled to contain attacks, suggesting Leipzig can break through. Hamburger SV’s recent home momentum and compact block offer resistance, but Leipzig’s form and tactical sharpness likely tilt control in their favor.

  • Leipzig’s attacking threat vs HSV’s defensive frailties
  • Home side’s steady form but limited offensive edge
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

Expect a competitive clash with Leipzig nudging ahead, though HSV’s resilience could keep it tight.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

HAM 3-4-2-1 · LEI 4-3-3
HAM · 3-4-2-1 4-3-3 · LEI 1 Heuer Fernandes 24 Capaldo 44 Vuskovic 25 Torunarigha 2 Mikelbrencis 20 Vieira ⚽ 21 Remberg 28 Muheim 11 Konigsdorffer 27 Otele 19 Downs 26 Vandevoordt 17 Baku 4 Orban 23 Lukeba 22 Raum 10 Gruda 13 Seiwald 14 Baumgartner 49 Diomande ⚽ 40 Cardoso ⚽ 7 Nusa
Subs used · HAM
20' Omari ↑ · Capaldo ↓
67' S. Lokonga ↑ · Konigsdorffer ↓
67' Poulsen ↑ · Downs ↓
67' Dompe ↑ · Otele ↓
87' Philippe ↑ · Vieira ↓
Subs used · LEI
72' Banzuzi ↑ · Nusa ↓
72' Gomis ↑ · Gruda ↓
90+1' Henrichs ↑ · Diomande ↓
90+5' Harder ↑ · Cardoso ↓

📊 Statistics

HAM 1 – 2 LEI
42%
Possession (%)
58%
0.55
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
3.09
7
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Target
5
3
Shots off Target
4
3
Shots Inside Box
10
4
Corner Kicks
9
1
Offsides
0
8
Fouls
12
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
86%
3
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

⏱ Match events

17 · 1 – 2
W. Omari ↓ · N. Capaldo ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
20'
F. Vieira
Assist · W. Mikelbrencis · 1–0
⚽
22'
31'
▮
Willi Orbán
Yellow Card
36'
⚽
Romulo Cardoso
Assist · R. Baku · 1–1
Philip Otele
Yellow Card
▮
45+3'
Half-time · 1 – 1
50'
⚽
Y. Diomande
Assist · Romulo Cardoso · 1–2
63'
▮
Rômulo
Yellow Card
A. S. Lokonga ↓ · R. Konigsdorffer ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
67'
Y. Poulsen ↓ · D. Downs ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
67'
J. Dompe ↓ · P. Otele ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
67'
72'
⇄
E. Banzuzi ↓ · A. Nusa ↑
Substitution 1
72'
⇄
T. Gomis ↓ · B. Gruda ↑
Substitution 2
Miro Muheim
Yellow Card
▮
81'
Yussuf Poulsen
Yellow Card
▮
82'
R. Philippe ↓ · F. Vieira ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
87'
90+1'
⇄
B. Henrichs ↓ · Y. Diomande ↑
Substitution 3
90+5'
⇄
C. Harder ↓ · Romulo Cardoso ↑
Substitution 4
Full-time · 1 – 2

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.22 — 53% Cashed +1.22 Cashed
BTTS No 2.67 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.65 — 64% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.46 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.60 — 57% Cashed +0.60 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.45 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.62 — 53% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.75 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.43 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.38 — 77% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.53 — 59% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Under 0.5 19.50 — 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 5.00 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.04 — 95% Cashed +0.04 Cashed
Draw 3.90 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.19 — 79% Cashed +0.19 Cashed
Home Win 3.30 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −4.77u −28% ROI