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Home Germany Germany Bundesliga Hamburger SV — RB Leipzig

Predictions Hamburger SV vs RB Leipzig March 1, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
Home · last 5 L L W W D
Kick-off
Sun 01 Mar · 18:30
1:2
Full-time
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
W W L W L Away · last 5
Volksparkstadion · Hamburg Referee Bastian Dankert, Germany
Home Win · HAM
23%
Best 3.80
Draw
24%
Best 3.71
Away Win · LEI
53%
Best 1.95
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.67
Fair odds
2.45
book 2.67 · +8.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 41% · EV +8.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS Yes is more likely (59%), but BTTS No is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 53.3%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 24.2%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 22.5%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 64.4%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 42.9%
Odds 2.46
Show model details
Implied probability 40.7%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 57.1%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 35.7%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.5%
Odds 19.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 20.9%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.5%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 79.1%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 40.8%
Odds 2.67
Show model details
Implied probability 37.5%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 59.2%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 53.3%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 22.5%
Odds 2.43
Show model details
Implied probability 41.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 46.7%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 77.5%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
HAM – LEI @ 2.67
+8.9%
Edge
Forecast →