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Home › Germany › Germany Bundesliga › Hamburger SV — VfB Stuttgart

Prediction: Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart, October 17

Germany   /   Germany Bundesliga Value pick inside
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV
Home · last 5 L L L W W
Kick-off
Sat 17 Oct · 13:30
—:—
Pre-match · scheduled
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
L W L L W Away · last 5

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · HAM
19%
Best 4.08
Draw
22%
Best 4.20
Away Win · STU
59%
Best 1.90

Model verdict

Model leans toward VfB Stuttgart to win — 59% probability.

Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 58%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 59% VfB Stuttgart win
Over/Under 2.5 59% Over 2.5
BTTS 58% Yes
Double Chance 81% X2
  • 1X2 VfB Stuttgart win 59%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59%
  • BTTS Yes 58%
  • Double Chance X2 81%
Open betting analysis

Odds movement · 1X2

72 hours · 4 bookmakers
Home Win Draw Away Win
See full odds

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Hamburger SV
W/D/L 2-0-3
Goals (for / against) 5 / 15
Avg goals / match 4.0
Scored in 2/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 4/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-2
xG (for / against) 0.98 / 1.25
VfB Stuttgart
W/D/L 3-0-2
Goals (for / against) 10 / 5
Avg goals / match 3.0
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 1-0-1
xG (for / against) 2.45 / 1.91

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1
Goals Scored
1.60
3
Goals Conceded
1.80
0.39
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66
3.80
Shots on Target
6
3.60
Corners
6.20
43
Possession (%)
52.20
83.66
Efficiency index
100.34
55.24
Adjusted index
86.27
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
6
OFF · home
50
17
DEF · home
67
17
OFF · away
50
33
DEF · away
22
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

Scenario insights

①
Hamburger SV wins when scoring first
100%
①
VfB Stuttgart wins when scoring first
67%
⚽
Hamburger SV BTTS rate · last 10
70%
⚽
VfB Stuttgart BTTS rate · last 10
80%
↑
Hamburger SV Over 2.5 · last 10
80%
↑
VfB Stuttgart Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
↩
Hamburger SV comeback rate · last 10
0%
↩
VfB Stuttgart comeback rate · last 10
0%

Goal timing

Hamburger SV · last 10 at home

0–15 7%
16–30 7%
31–45 43%
46–60 21%
61–75 14%
76–90 7%

VfB Stuttgart · last 10 away

0–15 14%
16–30 18%
31–45 14%
46–60 14%
61–75 5%
76–90 36%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.

Top scorers

J. Vagnoman
J. Vagnoman
STU · Defender
2 G · 0.51 g/90
B. El Khannouss
B. El Khannouss
STU · Midfielder
1 G · 0.96 g/90